Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -3 (78-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Martin * | 40 | 11-18 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 15 | - |
| K. Hornsby * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Patterson * | 32 | 7-11 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| T. Quarterman * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Malone * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Gray | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| B. Bridgewater | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Epps | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Madden * | 35 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| B. Portis * | 34 | 10-17 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 22 | - |
| M. Qualls * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| A. Harris * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Beard * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Bell | 23 | 4-12 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Williams | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Kingsley | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Watkins | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Durham | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter