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Arkansas

Also known as: Arkansas Razorbacks, Arkansas
Program History

2013 Team Stats (3 games)

67.0
PPG
66.4
Opp
+5.1
Margin
43.2%
FG%
38.7%
3P%
62.5%
FT%
33.7
RPG
14.7
APG
11.3
TO
75.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1620 (#40) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1551 (#32) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1021 (#145) HCA +147 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 988 (#419) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +35.4 (#38) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +16.0 (#78) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +14.9 (#89) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.483 (#62) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -9.3 More → 0.261 (#152) NetEff -9.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.7 More → 0.605 (#50) AdjNet +3.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.0 More → 0.613 (#50) AdjNet +4.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 67.2 More → 0.601 (#98) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 67.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.570 (#128) AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 66.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.814 (#79) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.789 (#90) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.782 (#82) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.767 (#89) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 131 | GP 31 More → 1169 (#77) RD 131 | GP 31
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 33 More → 1163 (#79) RD 112 | GP 33

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 73 - 68
2012-11-18 vs Longwood Lancers W 112 - 63
2012-11-20 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 89 - 60
2012-11-23 vs Arizona State Sun Devils L 68 - 83
2012-11-24 vs Wisconsin Badgers T 0 - 0
2012-11-30 vs Syracuse Orange L 82 - 91
2012-12-04 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 81 - 78
2012-12-08 @ Michigan Wolverines L 67 - 80
2012-12-15 vs Alcorn State Braves W 97 - 59
2012-12-20 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 79 - 74
2012-12-22 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 95 - 68
2012-12-29 vs Northwestern State Demons W 79 - 61
2013-01-05 vs Delaware State Hornets W 86 - 51
2013-01-09 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 51 - 69
2013-01-12 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 56 - 33
2013-01-16 vs Auburn Tigers W 88 - 80
2013-01-19 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 64 - 76
2013-01-23 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 96 - 70
2013-01-26 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 54 - 75
2013-01-31 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 56 - 59
2013-02-02 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 73 - 60
2013-02-05 vs Florida Gators W 80 - 69
2013-02-09 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 49 - 67
2013-02-13 @ Auburn Tigers W 83 - 75
2013-02-16 vs Missouri Tigers W 73 - 71
2013-02-21 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 62 - 60
2013-02-23 @ Florida Gators L 54 - 71
2013-02-27 @ LSU Tigers L 60 - 65
2013-03-02 vs Kentucky Wildcats W 73 - 60
2013-03-05 @ Missouri Tigers L 63 - 93
2013-03-09 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 73 - 62
2013-03-14 vs Vanderbilt Commodores L 72 - 75

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Young B. Young G 31 27.9 15.2 3.5 3.4 0.7 0.3 2.1 3.9 17.1 104 3.4 5.3 39.2 20.0 71.9 1.27 175.3 41.7
M. Powell M. Powell F 32 25.6 14.5 5.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.8 3.5 18.3 86 2.7 4.8 50.0 33.3 69.0 0.89 185.6 53.1
C. Clarke C. Clarke F 31 20.4 7.6 5.2 1.1 1.4 0.6 1.2 1.7 13.1 144 4.6 9.4 54.7 33.3 73.7 1.61 169.2 56.6
M. Wade M. Wade G 32 23.6 6.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 0.2 1.1 1.4 9.1 36 1.1 2.1 31.8 26.7 60.0 0.14 205.5 40.9
H. Mickelson H. Mickelson F 32 16.6 5.4 3.5 0.6 0.7 1.2 0.9 1.7 8.8 50 1.6 4.2 39.6 0.0 66.7 0.4 151.9 39.6
M. Qualls M. Qualls G 31 15.6 4.6 3.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.2 8.4 49 1.6 3.6 36.1 25.0 80.0 0.45 188.5 40.3
A. Bell A. Bell G 29 9.2 4.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 2.0 3.5 43 1.4 4.9 32.8 35.6 100.0 0.39 108.7 46.6
R. Scott Jr. R. Scott Jr. G 32 14.4 4.3 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.6 1.1 6.8 27 1.8 11.5 42.9 50.0 48.0 0.25 148.9 50.0
R. Madden R. Madden G 31 16.8 4.2 2.4 1.8 0.5 0.2 1.1 0.9 7.2 57 1.9 4.4 50.0 22.2 77.8 0.58 181.0 53.6
J. Williams J. Williams F 30 9.3 3.4 1.9 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.9 4.8 68 2.4 3.2 39.3 25.0 80.0 0.73 155.9 42.9
K. Haydar K. Haydar G 31 13.3 3.3 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 5.2 88 2.8 6.9 44.4 45.0 50.0 0.79 165.5 61.1
F. Gulley III F. Gulley III G 21 13.0 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.6 0.3 3.5 - - - 28.6 25.0 40.0 - 173.9 35.7
D. Wagner D. Wagner G 20 6.3 1.4 0.3 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.6 2.4 -13 -0.7 -3.5 25.0 28.6 0 -0.28 116.7 33.3
D. Spivey D. Spivey - 6 3.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.7 6 1.0 7.0 50.0 0 0 -0.06 100.0 50.0
C. Henderson C. Henderson - 5 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG