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Arkansas

Also known as: Arkansas Razorbacks, Arkansas
Program History

2013 Team Stats (3 games)

67.0
PPG
73.3
Opp
-6.3
Margin
43.2%
FG%
38.7%
3P%
62.5%
FT%
33.7
RPG
14.7
APG
11.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.2
Adj PPG
64.4
Adj Opp PPG
#65
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1146 (#90) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1107 (#93) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1015 (#152) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +8.5 (#64) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +6.6 (#84) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.699 (#72) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.8 More โ†’ 0.830 (#61) AdjNet +13.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.0 More โ†’ 0.835 (#61) AdjNet +14.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 64.4 More โ†’ 0.671 (#65) AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 64.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 66.0 More โ†’ 0.574 (#101) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 66.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.680 (#79) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.662 (#83) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1116 (#87) RD 130 | GP 32

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 73 - 68
2012-11-18 vs Longwood Lancers W 112 - 63
2012-11-20 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 89 - 60
2012-11-23 vs Arizona State Sun Devils L 68 - 83
2012-11-24 vs Wisconsin Badgers T 0 - 0
2012-11-30 vs Syracuse Orange L 82 - 91
2012-12-04 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 81 - 78
2012-12-08 @ Michigan Wolverines L 67 - 80
2012-12-15 vs Alcorn State Braves W 97 - 59
2012-12-20 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 79 - 74
2012-12-22 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 95 - 68
2012-12-29 vs Northwestern State Demons W 79 - 61
2013-01-05 vs Delaware State Hornets W 86 - 51
2013-01-09 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 51 - 69
2013-01-12 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 56 - 33
2013-01-16 vs Auburn Tigers W 88 - 80
2013-01-19 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 64 - 76
2013-01-23 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 96 - 70
2013-01-26 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 54 - 75
2013-01-31 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 56 - 59
2013-02-02 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 73 - 60
2013-02-05 vs Florida Gators W 80 - 69
2013-02-09 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 49 - 67
2013-02-13 @ Auburn Tigers W 83 - 75
2013-02-16 vs Missouri Tigers W 73 - 71
2013-02-21 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 62 - 60
2013-02-23 @ Florida Gators L 54 - 71
2013-02-27 @ LSU Tigers L 60 - 65
2013-03-02 vs Kentucky Wildcats W 73 - 60
2013-03-05 @ Missouri Tigers L 63 - 93
2013-03-09 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 73 - 62
2013-03-14 vs Vanderbilt Commodores L 72 - 75

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B.J. Young B.J. Young G 31 27.9 15.2 3.5 3.4 0.7 0.3 2.1 4.6 16.3 94 26 3.6 5.8 41.0 21.6 70.3 3.24 146.6 43.8
Marshawn Powell Marshawn Powell F 32 25.6 14.5 5.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.8 3.7 18.1 92 27 3.4 5.9 48.3 30.4 66.7 2.31 176.4 51.3
Coty Clarke Coty Clarke F 31 20.4 7.6 5.2 1.1 1.4 0.6 1.2 1.7 13.1 108 26 4.2 9.3 54.7 33.3 75.0 4.05 167.1 56.6
Mardracus Wade Mardracus Wade G 32 23.6 6.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 0.2 1.1 1.5 8.9 17 27 0.6 1.2 32.7 24.2 52.9 -2.0 184.1 40.8
Hunter Mickelson Hunter Mickelson F 32 16.6 5.4 3.5 0.6 0.7 1.2 0.9 2.0 8.5 38 27 1.4 3.6 41.3 0.0 66.7 1.15 129.2 41.3
Michael Qualls Michael Qualls G 31 15.6 4.6 3.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.2 8.4 7 26 0.3 0.7 35.1 25.0 80.0 -1.11 183.7 39.2
Anthlon Bell Anthlon Bell G 29 9.2 4.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 2.1 3.4 19 25 0.8 3.7 30.6 32.7 100.0 -0.4 100.4 43.5
Rickey Scott Rickey Scott G 32 14.4 4.3 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.6 1.2 6.8 122 27 4.5 14.4 40.5 50.0 48.0 3.36 142.7 47.3
Rashad Madden Rashad Madden G 31 16.8 4.2 2.4 1.8 0.5 0.2 1.1 1.1 7.0 -31 26 -1.2 -2.9 51.5 20.0 76.0 -3.38 147.7 54.5
Jacorey Williams Jacorey Williams F 30 9.3 3.4 1.9 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 4.6 35 25 1.4 6.3 34.4 22.2 83.3 0.67 135.5 37.5
Kikko Haydar Kikko Haydar G 31 13.3 3.3 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 5.1 56 26 2.2 7.4 46.4 47.6 50.0 1.69 160.2 64.3
Fred Gulley Fred Gulley G 21 13.0 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.6 0.3 3.5 24 17 1.4 4.5 28.6 25.0 40.0 -0.8 173.9 35.7
DeQuavious Wagner DeQuavious Wagner G 20 6.3 1.4 0.3 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.7 2.4 -8 18 -0.4 -2.9 30.8 37.5 0 -2.9 107.7 42.3
Davion Spivey Davion Spivey - 6 3.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.7 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 100.0 50.0
Charlie Henderson Charlie Henderson - 5 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG