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Arizona

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arizona Wildcats, Arizona
Program History
Coach: Sean Miller

2015 Team Stats (30 games)

76.0
PPG
59.8
Opp
+16.2
Margin
48.1%
FG%
35.5%
3P%
72.9%
FT%
36.8
RPG
13.5
APG
11.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.3
Adj PPG
55.6
Adj Opp PPG
#4
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1481 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1414 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 1253 (#4) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +22.9 (#4) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +24.3 (#1) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.946 (#2) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +34.6 More → 0.982 (#5) AdjNet +34.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +34.9 More → 0.983 (#5) AdjNet +34.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 55.6 More → 0.878 (#4) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 55.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 57.2 More → 0.850 (#1) AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 57.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.932 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.929 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 38 More → 1423 (#5) RD 95 | GP 38

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 78 - 55
2014-11-16 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 86 - 68
2014-11-19 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 71 - 54
2014-11-24 vs Missouri Tigers W 72 - 53
2014-11-25 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 72 - 68
2014-11-26 @ San Diego State Aztecs W 61 - 59
2014-12-02 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 91 - 65
2014-12-06 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs W 66 - 63
2014-12-09 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 87 - 56
2014-12-13 vs Michigan Wolverines W 80 - 53
2014-12-16 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 101 - 64
2014-12-19 @ UTEP Miners W 60 - 55
2014-12-23 @ UNLV Rebels L 67 - 71
2015-01-04 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 73 - 49
2015-01-08 @ Oregon Ducks W 80 - 62
2015-01-11 @ Oregon State Beavers L 56 - 58
2015-01-15 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 68 - 54
2015-01-17 vs Utah Utes W 69 - 51
2015-01-22 @ Stanford Cardinal W 89 - 82
2015-01-24 @ California Golden Bears W 73 - 50
2015-01-28 vs Oregon Ducks W 90 - 56
2015-01-30 vs Oregon State Beavers W 57 - 34
2015-02-07 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 78 - 81
2015-02-13 @ Washington Huskies W 86 - 62
2015-02-15 @ Washington State Cougars W 86 - 59
2015-02-19 vs USC Trojans W 87 - 57
2015-02-21 vs UCLA Bruins W 57 - 47
2015-02-26 @ Colorado Buffaloes W 82 - 54
2015-02-28 @ Utah Utes W 63 - 57
2015-03-05 vs California Golden Bears W 99 - 60
2015-03-07 vs Stanford Cardinal W 91 - 69
2015-03-12 vs California Golden Bears W 73 - 51
2015-03-13 vs UCLA Bruins W 70 - 64
2015-03-14 vs Oregon Ducks W 80 - 52
2015-03-19 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 93 - 72
2015-03-21 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 73 - 58
2015-03-26 vs Xavier Musketeers W 68 - 60
2015-03-28 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 78 - 85

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Stanley Johnson Stanley Johnson - 37 28.4 13.8 6.6 1.6 1.5 0.4 2.2 8.3 13.3 69 15 4.6 7.5 43.3 37.1 75.2 0.29 69.6 49.2
Brandon Ashley Brandon Ashley F 37 27.8 12.2 5.3 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.5 7.1 10.8 51 15 3.4 5.9 49.4 29.6 71.1 -2.64 69.8 51.0
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson Rondae Hollis-Jefferson F 37 28.8 11.1 6.9 1.6 1.2 0.9 1.6 5.9 14.1 136 15 9.1 14.3 48.2 19.0 70.2 5.94 70.8 49.1
T.J. McConnell T.J. McConnell G 37 30.5 10.5 3.9 6.2 2.2 0.1 2.1 7.1 13.7 131 15 8.7 11.3 52.3 34.4 83.9 3.93 67.2 56.5
Kaleb Tarczewski Kaleb Tarczewski C 37 25.9 9.4 5.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.4 4.6 9.9 100 15 6.7 10.8 54.1 0 70.7 2.41 77.2 54.1
Gabe York Gabe York G 36 23.1 9.4 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.4 1.0 5.3 7.2 91 15 6.1 11.5 42.7 38.6 81.4 2.41 77.3 56.0
Craig Victor Craig Victor F 7 7.1 3.6 1.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.6 4.6 - - - - 100.0 0 50.0 -0.74 217.0 100.0
Elliott Pitts Elliott Pitts G 37 14.8 3.5 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 2.4 2.6 51 15 3.4 11.5 38.6 34.5 80.0 0.35 68.2 50.0
Dusan Ristic Dusan Ristic C 35 8.6 3.3 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.8 3.7 21 11 1.9 21.3 65.1 100.0 55.2 1.02 75.2 67.5
Parker Jackson-Cartwright Parker Jackson-Cartwright G 33 9.6 2.9 1.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.5 4.2 - - - - 45.1 40.0 63.6 - 79.9 51.0
Matt Korcheck Matt Korcheck F 21 3.7 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.5 2.0 4 5 0.8 8.1 63.6 0 100.0 -1.26 95.3 63.6
Trey Mason Trey Mason G 9 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 -1.0 150.0 150.0
Jacob Hazzard Jacob Hazzard G 17 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 -0.5 - - - - 14.3 0.0 0 -1.71 14.3 14.3
Drew Mellon Drew Mellon F 12 1.9 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.87 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG