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2015-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 6.0% 94.0% -
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% -
Margin 14.8% 85.2% +9.6 (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 7.4% 92.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +28 (80-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Cook * 39 4-6 0-0 0-1 4 1 1 0 3 8 5 -
J. Young * 38 7-19 3-8 2-2 1 4 1 0 2 19 4 -
D. Brooks * 28 3-5 2-2 5-5 4 1 0 0 4 13 9 -
J. Bell * 26 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 4 4 -
J. Abdul-Bassit * 21 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
D. Benjamin 25 0-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
C. Benson 15 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 1 -
A. Rorie 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Sorkin 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Chandler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hollis Jefferson * 35 3-7 1-3 0-0 9 5 1 0 3 7 12 -
T.J. McConnell * 33 5-8 2-2 0-0 3 6 0 0 0 12 13 -
S. Johnson * 30 6-13 1-5 1-2 3 1 3 0 0 14 8 -
B. Ashley * 29 6-8 0-0 8-10 5 1 0 1 2 20 17 -
K. Tarczewski * 22 4-6 0-0 1-4 4 0 1 0 0 9 8 -
G. York 15 3-6 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 8 4 -
E. Pitts 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 1 -
P. Jackson-Cartwright 8 0-2 0-1 1-2 4 3 0 0 0 1 6 -
D. Ristic 7 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
M. Korcheck 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Mellon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Mason 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hazzard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter