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2015-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 5.9% 94.1% -
Bradley-Terry 25.3% 74.7% -
Margin 8.8% 91.2% +12.9 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.7% 73.3% -
Log Adjusted 26.9% 73.1% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +18 (69-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Wright * 34 4-9 1-2 1-2 4 7 1 0 4 10 9 -
B. Taylor * 32 4-9 4-7 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 12 9 -
J. Poeltl * 29 3-6 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 3 2 6 6 -
J. Loveridge * 27 3-6 3-5 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 11 7 -
C. Reyes * 16 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 3 -
B. Chapman 20 1-3 1-2 4-5 1 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
D. Tucker 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -
I. Wright 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Bachynski 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Kuzma 6 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
J. Olsen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Eastman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. McConnell * 32 8-10 0-1 0-2 3 6 1 0 2 16 14 -
R. Hollis Jefferson * 31 1-6 0-0 6-8 7 1 0 2 3 8 9 -
B. Ashley * 31 6-9 0-1 2-3 8 0 0 1 1 14 13 -
S. Johnson * 28 6-12 1-2 5-7 9 1 2 0 1 18 17 -
K. Tarczewski * 26 2-6 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 0 2 7 5 -
E. Pitts 23 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
D. Ristic 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 4 7 -
P. Jackson-Cartwright 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. York 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Hazzard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Mellon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Korcheck 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Mason 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter