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2015-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 88.9% 11.1% -
Bradley-Terry 62.5% 37.5% -
Margin 78.6% 21.4% -7.2 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 93.3% 6.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.3% 32.7% -
Log Adjusted 67.1% 32.9% -

Actual: Utah Utes -6 (57-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. McConnell * 37 2-6 0-1 3-4 5 5 0 0 3 7 8 -
K. Tarczewski * 33 3-4 0-0 7-9 6 0 0 1 1 13 15 -
B. Ashley * 30 3-5 0-0 1-3 3 0 1 3 2 7 7 -
R. Hollis Jefferson * 29 2-6 0-0 6-8 8 1 0 0 0 10 13 -
S. Johnson * 29 3-19 1-4 5-7 11 0 2 1 1 12 6 -
G. York 25 4-9 1-6 3-4 4 1 0 2 0 12 10 -
E. Pitts 10 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Ristic 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Jackson-Cartwright 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Korcheck 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Wright * 36 3-10 1-3 10-12 5 5 1 3 0 17 21 -
J. Loveridge * 30 3-9 2-5 2-2 6 1 0 1 1 10 8 -
B. Taylor * 28 3-10 2-7 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 8 -1 -
C. Reyes * 13 0-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -
J. Poeltl * 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
D. Bachynski 25 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 8 7 -
I. Wright 21 0-1 0-1 3-3 0 4 1 0 1 3 6 -
D. Tucker 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
B. Chapman 15 2-7 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 -2 -
J. Olsen 3 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter