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Appalachian State

Also known as: Appalachian State Mountaineers
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

63.5
PPG
71.6
Opp
-0.3
Margin
37.1%
FG%
29.4%
3P%
54.3%
FT%
42.5
RPG
11.0
APG
13.5
TO
87.2
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1205 (#218) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1192 (#235) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1028 (#128) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +22.1 (#184) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +5.0 (#227) HCA +3.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -22.5 More → 0.053 (#250) NetEff -22.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 67.7 More → 0.502 (#217) AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 67.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.594 (#218) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.586 (#212) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 145 | GP 31 More → 1045 (#180) RD 145 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Montreat College Cavaliers W 86 - 54
2012-11-13 vs High Point Panthers L 64 - 86
2012-11-16 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 82 - 101
2012-11-20 @ East Carolina Pirates L 72 - 82
2012-11-23 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 76 - 87
2012-11-28 vs Duquesne Dukes L 72 - 73
2012-12-01 @ Missouri Tigers L 56 - 72
2012-12-08 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 64 - 70
2012-12-16 @ Kansas City Roos W 81 - 71
2012-12-19 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 69 - 74
2012-12-22 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 78 - 70
2012-12-30 vs Milligan Buffaloes W 71 - 51
2013-01-08 @ Wofford Terriers W 50 - 49
2013-01-12 vs Elon Phoenix W 80 - 70
2013-01-14 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 83 - 70
2013-01-17 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 88 - 91
2013-01-19 @ Samford Bulldogs L 68 - 72
2013-01-24 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 64 - 62
2013-01-26 vs Davidson Wildcats L 56 - 79
2013-01-30 @ Charleston Cougars L 59 - 72
2013-02-02 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 74 - 65
2013-02-07 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 91 - 86
2013-02-09 @ Davidson Wildcats L 52 - 87
2013-02-11 vs Furman Paladins W 72 - 66
2013-02-14 @ Elon Phoenix L 58 - 61
2013-02-17 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 76 - 68
2013-02-20 vs The Citadel Bulldogs L 77 - 80
2013-02-28 vs Samford Bulldogs W 70 - 67
2013-03-02 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 86 - 60
2013-03-09 vs Furman Paladins W 74 - 60
2013-03-10 @ Davidson Wildcats L 62 - 65

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
N. Healy N. Healy F 31 35.0 14.5 7.7 1.4 1.9 1.5 1.6 2.5 22.7 51 1.6 2.2 49.4 41.2 85.7 1.03 273.5 53.8
J. Canty J. Canty F 31 31.7 14.3 6.2 3.0 1.0 0.5 2.5 2.3 20.1 -76 -2.5 -3.5 44.4 16.7 51.9 -0.53 263.5 45.1
T. Baskin T. Baskin F 31 20.3 9.9 4.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.2 14.1 -14 -0.5 -0.8 57.9 33.3 55.6 -0.54 334.3 59.2
T. Hamilton T. Hamilton G 31 28.8 9.2 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.1 1.1 1.8 10.4 -42 -1.4 -2.1 30.4 28.1 25.0 -0.23 247.6 38.4
M. Neal M. Neal G 23 30.9 8.8 3.2 3.6 1.1 0.3 3.6 1.5 12.0 36 1.6 2.4 35.3 33.3 90.0 0.43 264.3 45.6
J. Trice J. Trice G-F 31 23.8 7.0 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 1.6 1.8 6.9 12 0.4 0.6 35.1 41.7 53.3 -0.24 169.8 43.9
M. Obacha M. Obacha F 30 21.3 5.3 4.6 0.4 0.7 0.1 1.1 1.1 8.9 1 0.0 0.1 51.5 0 56.0 0.16 181.8 51.5
C. Burgess C. Burgess G 31 14.2 3.0 1.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 1.4 1.1 3.4 29 0.9 2.3 28.6 27.3 83.3 0.42 115.4 32.9
F. Eaves F. Eaves G 9 4.7 2.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.4 19 1.9 12.4 20.0 33.3 50.0 0.14 178.6 30.0
R. Gilbert R. Gilbert F 7 3.9 1.4 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.3 -6 -0.7 -4.1 0.0 0 100.0 -0.08 266.0 0.0
B. Okam B. Okam C 10 8.3 1.3 2.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.6 3.2 -11 -1.2 -4.3 33.3 0 20.0 -0.13 79.3 33.3
T. Spagnolo T. Spagnolo F 13 5.1 0.7 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.3 -21 -1.6 -6.1 0 0 0 0.0 0 0
B. Rutherford B. Rutherford G 5 3.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 100.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG