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2013-01-14

Model Predictions

Model UNC Greensboro Spartans Appalachian State Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 22.5% 77.5% +7.5 โœ“ (5.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.7 โœ“ (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 40.2% 59.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“

Actual: Appalachian State Mountaineers +13 (83-70). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrell Armstrong * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 3 20 26 -
Nicholas Paulos * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 7 13 -
Drew Parker * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 3 4 -
Kayel Locke * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 6 6 -
David Williams * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 3 3 -
Trevis Simpson 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 22 28 -
Kelvin McNeil 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 4 9 -
Jordan Potts 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
Taylor Hoffer 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nathan Healy * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 3 0 24 37 -
Tab Hamilton * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 3 6 -
Jay Canty * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 4 0 0 5 14 22 -
Michael Neal * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 19 26 -
Michael Obacha * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 7 -
Tevin Baskin 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 3 1 0 16 24 -
Chris Burgess 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
Jamaal Trice 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Rantavious Gilbert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tommy Spagnolo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Bennett Rutherford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Frank Eaves 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter