Model Predictions
| Model | Appalachian State Mountaineers | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.6 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats +3 (65-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Appalachian State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Healy * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Michael Neal * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Jay Canty * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Tab Hamilton * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Michael Obacha * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jamaal Trice | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tevin Baskin | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Tommy Spagnolo | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chris Burgess | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nik Cochran * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| J.P. Kuhlman * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Chris Czerapowicz * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| De'Mon Brooks * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Jake Cohen * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Tyler Kalinoski | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Tom Droney | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jake Belford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter