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Alabama State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Alabama State Hornets
Program History
Coach: Lewis Jackson

2018 Team Stats (3 games)

65.0
PPG
89.0
Opp
-24.0
Margin
38.9%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
42.9%
FT%
37.0
RPG
10.0
APG
17.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.8
Adj PPG
79.9
Adj Opp PPG
#340
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 619 (#342) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 732 (#332) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 931 (#272) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -16.2 (#340) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -13.0 (#332) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.175 (#327) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -22.0 More → 0.073 (#337) AdjNet -22.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -22.2 More → 0.071 (#338) AdjNet -22.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 79.9 More → 0.202 (#340) AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 79.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 74.8 More → 0.349 (#309) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 74.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.173 (#334) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.196 (#331) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 | GP 31 More → 685 (#337) RD 138 | GP 31

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 68 - 96
2017-11-12 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 58 - 92
2017-11-14 @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 63 - 94
2017-11-17 @ Oregon Ducks L 56 - 114
2017-11-20 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 50 - 67
2017-11-21 vs Savannah State Tigers L 97 - 101
2017-11-27 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 51 - 83
2017-11-30 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 69 - 77
2017-12-12 vs Tennessee State Tigers L 45 - 64
2017-12-16 vs Winthrop Eagles L 80 - 88
2017-12-21 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 62 - 74
2017-12-22 @ Liberty Flames L 70 - 87
2018-01-01 @ Jackson State Tigers L 73 - 82
2018-01-03 @ Grambling Tigers W 74 - 66
2018-01-06 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 63 - 46
2018-01-08 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions L 68 - 94
2018-01-13 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 70 - 67
2018-01-20 @ Southern Jaguars L 61 - 63
2018-01-22 @ Alcorn State Braves L 64 - 81
2018-01-27 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers L 80 - 86
2018-01-29 vs Texas Southern Tigers L 82 - 97
2018-02-03 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 89 - 85
2018-02-05 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 65 - 59
2018-02-10 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 69 - 50
2018-02-17 vs Southern Jaguars L 67 - 71
2018-02-19 vs Alcorn State Braves W 82 - 62
2018-02-24 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers L 74 - 80
2018-02-26 @ Texas Southern Tigers L 77 - 95
2018-03-01 vs Jackson State Tigers W 62 - 60
2018-03-03 vs Grambling Tigers L 64 - 66
2018-03-06 @ Texas Southern Tigers L 76 - 90

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Reginald Gee Reginald Gee G 26 30.1 16.1 4.7 1.0 0.7 0.5 1.7 3.2 18.2 -144 14 -10.3 -15.5 42.7 25.8 80.0 -2.18 225.3 47.6
Jacoby Ross Jacoby Ross G 22 25.2 12.6 1.9 2.5 0.8 0.0 1.8 2.5 13.5 -72 11 -6.5 -11.7 42.9 41.7 82.1 -0.29 203.5 51.8
Branden Johnson Branden Johnson F 26 24.2 7.9 7.1 0.2 0.5 1.7 1.2 1.8 14.4 -112 14 -8.0 -15.4 67.4 0 31.6 -1.63 189.5 67.4
Rodney Simeon Rodney Simeon G 20 18.9 7.2 1.6 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.3 2.0 6.3 -44 8 -5.5 -12.4 35.0 37.5 33.3 -2.03 175.5 46.2
Tobi Ewuosho Tobi Ewuosho G 25 22.8 6.3 4.2 1.5 0.9 0.1 1.5 1.6 10.0 -85 14 -6.1 -13.7 33.3 14.3 72.7 -2.63 180.2 34.6
Ed Jones Ed Jones F 23 19.8 5.8 3.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 2.1 7.2 -151 13 -11.6 -23.0 36.7 36.4 50.0 -4.05 134.3 40.8
Terrance LeFlore Terrance LeFlore G 25 18.2 5.2 2.0 1.7 0.9 0.3 1.4 2.1 6.6 -105 14 -7.5 -16.9 28.8 22.2 45.5 -3.45 113.5 32.7
Fausto Pichardo Fausto Pichardo F 23 15.6 4.8 3.9 0.5 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.3 7.9 -19 14 -1.4 -4.1 55.2 0.0 37.5 1.7 154.0 55.2
Gene Davis Gene Davis G 26 18.3 4.3 1.4 2.2 0.5 0.0 2.3 1.0 5.1 -97 14 -6.9 -17.1 22.2 9.1 85.7 -1.6 187.8 24.1
Austin Rogers Austin Rogers G 16 12.8 3.1 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.0 4.1 -79 10 -7.9 -23.4 62.5 80.0 57.1 -3.96 128.4 75.0
Steve Rogers Steve Rogers G 16 11.0 1.9 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 3.0 -43 9 -4.8 -15.8 20.0 0.0 100.0 -2.11 221.9 20.0
Marice Wright Marice Wright C 16 7.1 1.6 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 3.1 -26 9 -2.9 -19.5 33.3 0.0 0.0 -2.7 131.6 33.3
Fredens Deneus Fredens Deneus F 12 4.7 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 -63 8 -7.9 -41.5 28.6 0 25.0 -5.35 68.5 28.6
Micah Johnson Micah Johnson - 4 4.5 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG