Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Jaguars | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.9% | 42.1% | -3.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.9% | 45.1% | -1.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -4 (67-71). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Thomas * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Jared Sam * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 30 | - |
| Emanual Shepherd * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Eddie Reese * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| J. Sandifer * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Torrey Mayo | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| LaQuentin Collins | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Ray | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Sidney Umude | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Mubashar Ali | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Richard Lee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reginald Gee * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 30 | - |
| Tobi Ewuosho * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jacoby Ross * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Branden Johnson * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Fausto Pichardo * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Ed Jones | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gene Davis | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Rodney Simeon | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marice Wright | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Austin Rogers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter