Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | +7.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.9% | 76.1% | +6.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions -6 (59-65). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobi Ewuosho * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jacoby Ross * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Reginald Gee * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Fausto Pichardo * | 28 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Branden Johnson * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Rodney Simeon | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Gene Davis | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Steve Rogers | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Fredens Deneus | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Austin Rogers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martaveous McKnight * | 37 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 6-9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Travon Harper * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Charles Jackson * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Cameron Posey * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Trent Steen * | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Joe'Randle Toliver | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Terrance Banyard | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Quamauri Hardy | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| William Ridgell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J'Breun Sprinkle | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| David Tillman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Christian Robertson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter