Model Predictions
| Model | Grambling Tigers | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.8% | 36.2% | -3.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -2 (64-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivy Smith * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Shirmane Thomas * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Jason Perry-Murray * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Devante Jackson * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Gaston * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Nigel Ribeiro | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Axel Mpoyo | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Drake Wilks | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance LeFlore * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Rodney Simeon * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Branden Johnson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Fausto Pichardo * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Steve Rogers * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ed Jones | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Reginald Gee | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Tobi Ewuosho | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Gene Davis | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Marice Wright | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter