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Alabama State

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Also known as: Alabama State Hornets
Program History
Coach: Rob Spivery

2005 Team Stats (2 games)

45.5
PPG
73.0
Opp
-27.5
Margin
29.9%
FG%
35.7%
3P%
68.8%
FT%
31.5
RPG
10.5
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
52.8
Adj PPG
64.9
Adj Opp PPG
#309
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 889 (#259) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 886 (#252) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +110 elo More → 998 (#164) HCA +110 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More → -13.6 (#312) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More → -14.1 (#315) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.345 (#238) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -18.8 More → 0.103 (#304) AdjNet -18.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.2 More → 0.099 (#304) AdjNet -19.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 52.8 | AdjD 64.9 More → 0.249 (#309) AdjO 52.8 | AdjD 64.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 62.4 More → 0.371 (#283) AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 62.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.236 (#295) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.258 (#293) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 122 | GP 30 More → 851 (#269) RD 122 | GP 30

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-19 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 37 - 74
2004-11-21 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs L 47 - 50
2004-11-30 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 63 - 61
2004-12-04 vs Birmingham-Southern Panthers L 63 - 71
2004-12-07 vs Alabama Crimson Tide L 54 - 72
2004-12-14 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 45 - 71
2004-12-21 vs Troy Trojans W 61 - 48
2004-12-27 @ UTEP Miners L 57 - 89
2004-12-28 @ Tulane Green Wave L 59 - 71
2005-01-03 vs Jackson State Tigers W 69 - 68
2005-01-05 vs Grambling Tigers W 71 - 66
2005-01-08 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 52 - 45
2005-01-10 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils L 43 - 56
2005-01-15 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs L 52 - 59
2005-01-22 vs Southern Jaguars W 52 - 51
2005-01-24 vs Alcorn State Braves W 69 - 58
2005-01-29 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers W 59 - 50
2005-01-31 @ Texas Southern Tigers W 66 - 58
2005-02-05 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 61 - 58
2005-02-07 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 56 - 52
2005-02-12 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs L 93 - 96
2005-02-19 @ Southern Jaguars L 55 - 56
2005-02-21 @ Alcorn State Braves L 47 - 51
2005-02-26 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 77 - 60
2005-02-28 vs Texas Southern Tigers L 54 - 56
2005-03-03 @ Jackson State Tigers W 58 - 54
2005-03-05 @ Grambling Tigers L 48 - 60
2005-03-10 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 64 - 56
2005-03-11 vs Southern Jaguars W 54 - 50
2005-03-13 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs L 53 - 72

2005 Roster

No roster data available for this season.