Model Predictions
| Model | Grambling Tigers | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | -2.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.9% | 72.1% | +5.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +5 (71-66). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Ellis | 40 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| John Dorsey | 36 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Brion Rush | 30 | 3-15 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Watson Jr. | 30 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| M. Searight | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Stevens | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Andre' Ratliff | 17 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| J. Lewis | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Donte' Gordon | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Whittle | 40 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | - |
| R. Golden | 33 | 9-18 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 18 | - |
| A. Oliver | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| B. Schnare | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| George Savage | 24 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Lamarquis Blake | 18 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| H. Warren | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Cedric Mitchell | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Richard Lott Jr. | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Joel Bosh | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dustin Richmond | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter