Model Predictions
| Model | Birmingham Southern Panthers | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | -0.2 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.1% | 27.9% | -5.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -8 (63-71). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Birmingham Southern Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Viglianco | 36 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Jakob Sigurdarson | 35 | 6-11 | 6-9 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Shema Mbyirukira | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| James Collins | 25 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. McMillan | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Rostislav Vergun | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Arnold Gore | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jimmy Amerson | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Augustinas Vitas | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Helgi Margeirsson | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Joshua Bailey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jean-Baptiste Bah | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Schnare | 34 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5-9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Joel Bosh | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Oliver | 31 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Dustin Richmond | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Whittle | 20 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| George Savage | 17 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Miguel Morton | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lamarquis Blake | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Reginald Jackson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Josh Brewster | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Richard Lott Jr. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter