Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.8% | 21.2% | -14.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 99.1% | 0.9% | -25.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -18 (54-72). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Steele | 38 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | - |
| J. Roberson | 37 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Chuck Davis | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Jermareo Davidson | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Earnest Shelton | 31 | 5-13 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jean Felix | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Albert Weber | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Justin Jonus | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Brock | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Oliver | 33 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| B. Schnare | 29 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Whittle | 29 | 2-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Joel Bosh | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| George Savage | 23 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Lamarquis Blake | 19 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Dustin Richmond | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Richard Lott Jr. | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Miguel Morton | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Reginald Jackson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Josh Brewster | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter