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Akron

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Akron Zips
Program History
Coach: John Groce

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1169 (#84) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1148 (#79) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1053 (#97) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +7.3 (#77) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +5.7 (#93) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.695 (#74) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.4 More → 0.748 (#96) AdjNet +9.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.4 More → 0.749 (#96) AdjNet +9.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 63.4 More → 0.654 (#75) AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 63.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 64.7 More → 0.602 (#87) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 64.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.666 (#89) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.656 (#96) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 31 More → 1110 (#97) RD 118 | GP 31

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-09 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs W 68 - 58
2011-11-12 vs Hiram W 95 - 65
2011-11-18 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 59 - 62
2011-11-19 @ Duquesne Dukes L 76 - 81
2011-11-26 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 81 - 63
2011-11-28 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 56 - 77
2011-12-04 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 53 - 77
2011-12-10 @ Cleveland State Vikings L 66 - 69
2011-12-15 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 87 - 64
2011-12-17 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 91 - 69
2011-12-19 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 88 - 62
2011-12-21 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 79 - 52
2011-12-29 vs VCU Rams L 75 - 76
2012-01-01 @ Marshall Thundering Herd W 67 - 51
2012-01-07 @ Miami (OH) Redhawks W 65 - 60
2012-01-11 @ Bowling Green Falcons W 56 - 55
2012-01-14 vs Ohio Bobcats W 68 - 63
2012-01-18 @ Buffalo Bulls L 70 - 82
2012-01-24 @ Ball State Cardinals W 70 - 58
2012-01-28 @ Central Michigan Chippewas W 74 - 64
2012-02-01 vs Toledo Rockets W 86 - 72
2012-02-04 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 77 - 47
2012-02-08 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 69 - 66
2012-02-15 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 74 - 59
2012-02-18 @ Oral Roberts Golden Eagles L 61 - 67
2012-02-22 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 79 - 68
2012-02-26 @ Ohio Bobcats L 61 - 85
2012-02-29 vs Buffalo Bulls L 70 - 74
2012-03-02 @ Kent State Golden Flashes W 61 - 55
2012-03-09 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 78 - 74
2012-03-10 vs Ohio Bobcats L 63 - 64
2012-03-13 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 74 - 76

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zeke Marshall Zeke Marshall C 32 26.6 10.6 5.4 0.8 0.5 2.7 1.6 2.9 15.5 100 27 3.7 6.6 57.6 0.0 70.5 2.83 142.2 57.6
Nikola Cvetinovic Nikola Cvetinovic F 32 25.9 9.8 5.5 1.9 0.8 0.2 1.9 3.7 12.6 42 27 1.6 2.7 50.8 42.9 63.2 -0.95 116.9 54.7
Alex Abreu Alex Abreu G 29 30.4 9.8 2.6 4.7 1.8 0.0 2.7 2.8 13.5 83 24 3.5 5.1 42.5 40.5 68.4 2.39 160.7 53.1
Quincy Diggs Quincy Diggs F 32 25.6 8.6 3.2 2.3 1.2 0.2 2.5 3.0 10.1 11 27 0.4 0.7 49.0 38.9 66.7 -2.68 122.0 56.2
Brian Walsh Brian Walsh G 32 24.8 8.2 3.9 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.9 2.7 10.7 121 27 4.5 8.5 44.7 49.0 84.6 3.17 128.7 59.4
Nick Harney Nick Harney F 27 15.1 7.7 3.0 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.6 2.3 8.3 1 24 0.0 0.1 52.5 50.0 78.6 -0.79 154.9 54.9
Demetrius Treadwell Demetrius Treadwell F 30 16.3 7.1 4.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 1.3 2.9 9.6 57 25 2.3 6.6 47.7 0.0 50.0 0.7 103.8 47.7
Chauncey Gilliam Chauncey Gilliam F 32 16.7 6.4 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.6 2.4 6.4 28 27 1.0 2.7 49.4 48.3 64.3 -2.16 122.7 58.4
Brett McClanahan Brett McClanahan G 32 19.2 4.5 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.8 2.2 5.1 -2 27 -0.1 -0.2 31.4 31.8 75.0 -0.68 92.8 41.4
D. Ibitayo D. Ibitayo G 10 9.1 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.4 1.4 1.0 11 9 1.2 7.3 35.7 25.0 66.7 0.64 59.6 42.9
Josh Egner Josh Egner F 10 7.7 1.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.7 1.6 1.7 -13 8 -1.6 -12.0 31.2 0.0 75.0 -2.0 45.0 31.2
C.J. Oldham C.J. Oldham F 8 3.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 -1 5 -0.2 -2.9 50.0 0.0 0 -0.74 75.0 50.0
Kyle Petersen Kyle Petersen G 6 2.0 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 - - - - 33.3 0.0 75.0 -1.13 52.5 33.3
Michael Green Michael Green - 4 4.5 0.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.8 - - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 10.2 0.0
Luke Avsec Luke Avsec G 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.0 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG