Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Akron Zips | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron Zips +11 (79-68). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Thomas * | 36 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Dee Brown * | 33 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -2 | - |
| Cameron Black * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jordon Crawford * | 24 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A'uston Calhoun | 34 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Jehvon Clarke | 16 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Torian Oglesby | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Craig Sealey | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| James Erger | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Henderson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chauncey Orr | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Walsh * | 29 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Alex Abreu * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Zeke Marshall * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Nikola Cvetinovic * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Chauncey Gilliam * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Quincy Diggs | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Nick Harney | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Brett McClanahan | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Demetrius Treadwell | 16 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
* = starter