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2012-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Akron Zips Buffalo Bulls Spread Result
Elo 40.4% 59.6% +1.8 โœ“ (10.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% - โœ“
Margin 43.6% 56.4% +1.4 โœ“ (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 56.5% 43.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 56.4% 43.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% - โœ“

Actual: Buffalo Bulls +12 (82-70). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Cvetinovic * 29 6-9 1-2 4-4 8 0 1 0 2 17 15 -
Zeke Marshall * 28 6-10 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 1 0 13 9 -
Alex Abreu * 27 4-8 0-1 1-1 3 8 3 0 6 9 9 -
Brian Walsh * 27 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 3 4 -
Chauncey Gilliam * 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Quincy Diggs 28 6-12 2-5 3-5 5 3 1 0 2 17 12 -
Brett McClanahan 19 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
Nick Harney 16 4-12 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 8 -3 -
Demetrius Treadwell 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 0 0 -

Buffalo Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Filzen * 34 8-15 5-12 0-1 3 1 0 0 2 21 8 -
Jarod Oldham * 27 3-5 1-1 4-6 7 9 3 1 4 11 22 -
Javon McCrea * 27 6-12 0-0 3-4 7 2 2 1 2 15 13 -
Mitchell Watt * 26 3-7 2-3 3-4 4 3 0 5 2 11 14 -
Auraum Nuiriankh * 12 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Dave Barnett 28 1-5 0-2 2-2 1 3 2 1 1 4 5 -
Titus Robinson 20 1-3 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 0 2 3 3 -
Tony Watson II 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 2 -
Cameron Downing 7 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
Corey Raley-Ross 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 3 -

* = starter