Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Akron Zips | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | +10.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.8% | 91.2% | +12.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron Zips +14 (86-72). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Buckley * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Rian Pearson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 43 | - |
| Matt Smith * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Julius Brown * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Delino Dear * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Curtis Dennis | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Reese Holliday | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Richard Wonnell | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Mathew | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Abreu * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Nikola Cvetinovic * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Zeke Marshall * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Brian Walsh * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Chauncey Gilliam * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Quincy Diggs | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Brett McClanahan | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Demetrius Treadwell | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Nick Harney | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter