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Charleston Cougars 9-10
@
2021-01-30
James Madison Dukes 13-7

Model Predictions

Model Charleston Cougars James Madison Dukes Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 25.8% (#234) 74.2% (#185) James M... -6.3 67-74
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 26.6% (#239) 73.4% (#143) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 21.5% (#224) 78.5% (#150) James M... -7.1 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 37.7% (#210) 62.3% (#103) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 23.6% (#206) 76.4% (#141) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 23.6% (#206) 76.4% (#141) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 32.4% (#228) 67.6% (#146) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Charleston Cougars James Madison Dukes
Games 1 33
PPG 60.0 30.6
FG% 40.0% 50.6%
3PT% 34.8% 30.2%
FT% 40.0% 62.1%
RPG 34.0 13.2
APG 13.0 4.7
SPG 5.0 2.1
BPG 3.0 0.8
TOPG 15.0 4.7

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Charleston Cougars James Madison Dukes
Adj. Off Eff 97.6 101.0
Adj. Def Eff 102.4 99.0
Adj. Net Eff -4.8 1.9

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Charleston Cougars Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
P. Willis 14.2 3.0 3.1 0.8 0.3 34.2
Z. Jasper 15.9 3.6 2.7 0.9 0.1 32.9
O. Smart 4.6 6.5 0.3 0.6 0.4 25.7
B. Galloway 18.3 3.0 2.7 2.0 0.7 23.0
L. Edwards 4.2 3.3 0.8 0.6 0.8 19.2

James Madison Dukes Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
V. Morse 14.4 2.0 2.4 0.6 0.1 28.6
J. Amadi 9.1 5.0 0.6 1.0 0.4 23.6
J. Wooden 8.4 4.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 22.5
T. Edwards 5.3 4.2 1.5 0.5 0.2 17.2
H. Smith 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0