Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.8% | 42.2% | -1.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -8 (69-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mason | 40 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | +8.7 |
| F. Skobalj | 30 | 5-11 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +0.9 |
| S. Ciani | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | +8.0 |
| T. Freeman | 29 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +8.3 |
| M. Kancleris | 28 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | +10.6 |
| J. Jackson | 27 | 3-12 | 0-7 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 1 | +7.8 |
| E. Pickett | 18 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +6.9 |
| A. Henderson II | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | -0.5 |
| K. Jeffries | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.8 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Lewis | 44 | 4-16 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -2 | -13.6 |
| J. Lawson | 43 | 9-19 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 16 | -8.8 |
| M. Wilkinson | 42 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -4.4 |
| T. Gatkek | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | -11.4 |
| T. Jackson | 30 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 3 | -10.1 |
| C. Pennyfeather | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -0.1 |
| A. Beljan | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +3.7 |
| N. Milosevic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Hughes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter