Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.6% | 88.4% | +11.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +6 (63-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Fagbemi * | 36 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | -3.7 |
| L. Taylor * | 35 | 5-16 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Evbagharu * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.0 |
| E. Cato * | 26 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | +1.3 |
| D. Seixas * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -3.9 |
| N. Turner | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 17 | -0.1 |
| C. McCormick | 17 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -7.5 |
| B. Fox | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -7.5 |
| U. Etim | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.4 |
| E. Thomas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -4.8 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lawson * | 40 | 6-10 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 19 | +4.2 |
| I. Lewis * | 37 | 0-10 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | +4.4 |
| A. Beljan * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | +3.7 |
| M. Wilkinson * | 33 | 6-18 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | +4.5 |
| T. Gatkek * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | +2.1 |
| C. Hughes | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Pennyfeather | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Jackson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1.6 |
* = starter