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Xavier Musketeers

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Xavier Musketeers
Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

58.4
PPG
66.6
Opp
-8.2
Margin
39.3%
FG%
28.3%
3P%
72.5%
FT%
33.3
RPG
13.4
APG
17.0
TO
68.8
Est. poss./game
59.3
Adj PPG
62.0
Adj Opp PPG
#194
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 943 (#208) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 975 (#195) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More → 900 (#295) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -2.0 (#184) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -4.7 (#218) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.181 (#287) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -11.6 More → 0.181 (#287) NetEff -11.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.6 More → 0.425 (#186) AdjNet -2.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.9 More → 0.417 (#188) AdjNet -2.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 62.0 More → 0.440 (#194) AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 62.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.0 | AdjD 66.0 More → 0.326 (#297) AdjO 58.0 | AdjD 66.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.384 (#224) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.361 (#239) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 30 More → 917 (#232) RD 150 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs New Haven Chargers W 53 - 46
2025-11-07 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 62 - 61
2025-11-11 vs Dayton Flyers L 66 - 71
2025-11-14 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 60 - 68
2025-11-20 vs Ohio Bobcats W 74 - 53
2025-11-24 @ Akron Zips W 64 - 57
2025-11-30 vs UConn Huskies L 39 - 104
2025-12-04 vs Providence Friars W 61 - 47
2025-12-07 @ Cincinnati Bearcats W 77 - 70
2025-12-09 vs Long Island University Sharks W 64 - 57
2025-12-14 vs Saint Francis Red Wolves W 63 - 51
2025-12-19 @ Butler Bulldogs L 58 - 64
2025-12-28 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 55 - 75
2026-01-01 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 54 - 67
2026-01-04 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 52 - 51
2026-01-08 @ Villanova Wildcats L 50 - 67
2026-01-13 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 71 - 61
2026-01-17 vs St. John's Red Storm L 64 - 66
2026-01-20 @ Creighton Bluejays L 64 - 82
2026-01-24 vs Georgetown Hoyas L 52 - 65
2026-01-28 @ UConn Huskies L 39 - 97
2026-02-01 vs Butler Bulldogs W 63 - 59
2026-02-04 @ St. John's Red Storm L 52 - 71
2026-02-08 @ Providence Friars L 50 - 66
2026-02-11 vs Villanova Wildcats L 38 - 78
2026-02-18 vs Seton Hall Pirates L 55 - 64
2026-02-22 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 67 - 76
2026-02-25 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 65 - 77
2026-03-01 vs Creighton Bluejays L 71 - 73
2026-03-06 @ St. John's Red Storm L 48 - 53

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mariyah Noel Mariyah Noel G 30 33.6 14.9 6.3 2.4 1.0 0.4 4.0 14.1 6.9 -171 26 -6.6 -8.3 37.3 31.6 76.2 1.43 46.3 40.9
MacKenzie Givens MacKenzie Givens F 29 29.6 11.7 4.4 0.8 1.1 0.5 1.5 9.5 7.4 -157 26 -6.0 -9.0 48.9 31.6 83.3 -1.47 56.5 53.3
Meri Kanerva Meri Kanerva G 30 38.3 10.1 2.5 3.9 1.1 0.1 2.8 10.7 4.4 -196 26 -7.5 -8.5 36.2 29.8 79.4 0.91 45.4 43.3
Savannah White Savannah White F 29 30.1 7.0 7.3 2.4 1.5 1.4 2.4 6.2 11.1 -114 25 -4.6 -6.4 45.0 9.5 52.1 0.01 47.6 45.6
Vivien Nejašmić Vivien Nejašmić G 30 22.1 6.9 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.2 2.3 6.4 3.6 -217 25 -8.7 -16.7 43.5 26.2 71.9 -3.01 50.2 47.9
Petra Oborilova Petra Oborilova F 30 21.8 4.1 2.5 1.6 0.4 0.4 1.3 4.6 3.2 -67 26 -2.6 -5.3 32.6 29.4 0 0.34 44.2 44.2
Audia Young Audia Young G 29 16.6 3.0 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.0 3.4 1.0 -131 26 -5.0 -13.3 27.0 21.5 73.1 -3.62 39.0 34.0
Lucía Martínez López Lucía Martínez López G 21 10.3 1.5 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.1 -22 19 -1.2 -5.1 39.3 60.0 100.0 -0.28 51.5 44.6
Denise Neves Denise Neves F 13 3.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.9 -0.2 -34 10 -3.4 -37.2 33.3 33.3 0 -4.38 41.7 41.7
Phoebe Holmes Phoebe Holmes G 12 3.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 -0.1 -38 10 -3.8 -40.1 12.5 14.3 0 -3.82 18.8 18.8
Penda Dieng Penda Dieng F 3 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 -2.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -4.84 0.0 0.0
Mya Moore Mya Moore F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Payton Richards Payton Richards G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kodee Williams-Sefo Kodee Williams-Sefo F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1681 located field-goal attempts in 30 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Givens25% Noel29% Noel28% Noel41% Noel30% Kanerva29% Givens25% Kanerva29% Kanerva35% Givens23%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Noel32% Noel37% Noel32% Noel35% Noel29% Givens20% Kanerva30% Kanerva20% Kanerva36% Kanerva22%
Misses: who misses most here

Mariyah NoelMacKenzie GivensMeri Kanerva

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 243-385 63.1 486 MacKenzie Givens 25% (122 pts) Mariyah Noel 21% (104 pts) Mariyah Noel 32% (46 misses) Meri Kanerva 20% (28 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 157-403 39.0 314 Mariyah Noel 29% (92 pts) MacKenzie Givens 22% (68 pts) Mariyah Noel 37% (90 misses) Meri Kanerva 17% (43 misses)
Mid-range left 25-120 20.8 50 Mariyah Noel 28% (14 pts) Savannah White 20% (10 pts) Mariyah Noel 32% (30 misses) MacKenzie Givens 20% (19 misses)
Mid-range center 22-62 35.5 44 Mariyah Noel 41% (18 pts) MacKenzie Givens 23% (10 pts) Mariyah Noel 35% (14 misses) MacKenzie Givens 22% (9 misses)
Mid-range right 43-108 39.8 86 Mariyah Noel 30% (26 pts) Vivien Nejašmić 19% (16 pts) Mariyah Noel 29% (19 misses) Meri Kanerva 17% (11 misses)
Left corner 3 28-72 38.9 84 Meri Kanerva 29% (24 pts) Mariyah Noel 25% (21 pts) MacKenzie Givens 20% (9 misses) Petra Oborilova 20% (9 misses)
Right corner 3 16-59 27.1 48 MacKenzie Givens 25% (12 pts) Petra Oborilova 25% (12 pts) Meri Kanerva 30% (13 misses) Savannah White 16% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 left 56-193 29.0 168 Meri Kanerva 29% (48 pts) Petra Oborilova 23% (39 pts) Meri Kanerva 20% (28 misses) Petra Oborilova 20% (27 misses)
Above-break 3 center 40-127 31.5 120 Meri Kanerva 35% (42 pts) Petra Oborilova 22% (27 pts) Meri Kanerva 36% (31 misses) Mariyah Noel 21% (18 misses)
Above-break 3 right 31-152 20.4 93 MacKenzie Givens 23% (21 pts) Audia Young 16% (15 pts) Meri Kanerva 22% (27 misses) MacKenzie Givens 17% (21 misses)