Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✗ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers -5 (66-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Stephens | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +5.7 |
| A. Madol | 29 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 5 | -2.8 |
| O. Leung | 28 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| M. O'Riordan | 25 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | +0.8 |
| F. Ibrahim | 24 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | +3.2 |
| J. Johnson | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8.4 |
| S. Dawkins | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +6.5 |
| N. Lear | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 5 | -8.9 |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kanerva | 38 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | +7.0 |
| M. Noel | 38 | 6-19 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 7 | -4.9 |
| S. White | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 19 | +8.6 |
| P. Oborilova | 25 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +7.7 |
| M. Givens | 21 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +3.5 |
| V. Nejašmić | 17 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -1.9 |
| A. Young | 17 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -0.9 |
| L. Martínez López | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.3 |
* = starter