Xavier Musketeers
2013 Team Stats (2 games)
63.5
PPG
80.0
Opp
-16.5
Margin
38.7%
FG%
45.0%
3P%
72.2%
FT%
32.0
RPG
18.0
APG
17.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.6
Adj PPG
58.6
Adj Opp PPG
#142
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1100 (#104) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 958 (#193) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1006 (#153) | HCA +72 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +1.4 (#138) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +1.8 (#140) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.474 (#160) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.586 (#134) | AdjNet +3.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.591 (#133) | AdjNet +3.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.523 (#142) | AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 58.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.497 (#154) | AdjO 55.6 | AdjD 55.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.551 (#134) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.546 (#138) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1013 (#151) | RD 157 | GP 28 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-10 | vs | Bucknell Bison | W | 71 - 62 |
| 2012-11-12 | vs | Michigan Wolverines | L | 53 - 62 |
| 2012-11-19 | vs | High Point Panthers | W | 77 - 48 |
| 2012-11-21 | vs | Morehead State Eagles | W | 73 - 58 |
| 2012-11-25 | vs | Duke Blue Devils | L | 59 - 82 |
| 2012-11-30 | vs | App State Mountaineers | L | 73 - 77 |
| 2012-12-02 | @ | Cincinnati Bearcats | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2012-12-06 | @ | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | L | 48 - 63 |
| 2012-12-15 | vs | Wright State Raiders | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2012-12-18 | vs | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | W | 62 - 52 |
| 2012-12-21 | @ | Indiana Hoosiers | L | 55 - 66 |
| 2012-12-29 | @ | Virginia Cavaliers | L | 45 - 54 |
| 2013-01-05 | vs | Ohio Bobcats | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2013-01-13 | vs | Duquesne Dukes | L | 54 - 56 |
| 2013-01-17 | @ | Butler Bulldogs | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2013-01-20 | @ | Charlotte 49ers | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2013-01-23 | vs | Fordham Rams | L | 41 - 48 |
| 2013-01-27 | @ | Richmond Spiders | L | 63 - 73 |
| 2013-01-31 | vs | Saint Louis Billikens | L | 49 - 66 |
| 2013-02-03 | vs | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | W | 58 - 50 |
| 2013-02-07 | @ | Dayton Flyers | L | 68 - 78 |
| 2013-02-10 | vs | La Salle Explorers | W | 58 - 53 |
| 2013-02-17 | vs | Rhode Island Rams | W | 59 - 40 |
| 2013-02-20 | @ | Temple Owls | W | 54 - 53 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ | VCU Rams | W | 65 - 54 |
| 2013-02-27 | vs | George Washington Revolutionaries | W | 65 - 62 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ | Massachusetts Minutewomen | W | 67 - 54 |
| 2013-03-08 | vs | Temple Owls | T | 0 - 0 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A. Gray
|
NA | 1 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 11 | 20 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 61.5 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 2.34 | 73.3 | 69.2 |
A. Zantt
|
G | 1 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | -25 | 20 | -1.2 | -2.5 | 38.5 | 57.1 | 0 | -1.37 | 53.8 | 53.8 |
B. Glover
|
F | 1 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 14 | 20 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 71.4 | 75.0 | 0 | 0.79 | 92.9 | 92.9 |
A. Wanninger
|
G | 2 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8.0 | 7.0 | -39 | 20 | -1.9 | -2.6 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 25.0 | -1.02 | 50.7 | 53.1 |
J. Pachko
|
NA | 1 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | -41 | 17 | -2.4 | -3.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.71 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
S. Hawkes
|
G | 2 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 8.5 | 3.0 | -22 | 20 | -1.1 | -1.7 | 23.5 | 28.6 | 100.0 | 1.09 | 33.6 | 29.4 |
L. Crouch
|
F | 1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | -23 | 9 | -2.6 | -5.3 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.19 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
J. Crittendon
|
G | 1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -5 | 19 | -0.3 | -0.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.65 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG