Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.6% | 98.4% | +22.7 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +10 (78-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wanninger | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Hawkes | 0 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Gray | 0 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| B. Glover | 0 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. Zantt | 0 | 5-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. MacKay | 0 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| C. Sant | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Deane | 0 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Hoover | 0 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Hudson | 0 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
* = starter