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Xavier Musketeers

Also known as: Xavier Musketeers
Program History

2011 Team Stats (24 games)

72.8
PPG
56.8
Opp
+16.0
Margin
44.5%
FG%
32.5%
3P%
65.9%
FT%
40.6
RPG
15.9
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.6
Adj PPG
51.7
Adj Opp PPG
#9
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1588 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1449 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +81 elo More โ†’ 1198 (#12) HCA +81 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +25.3 (#10) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +22.9 (#15) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.959 (#11) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +38.3 More โ†’ 0.989 (#10) AdjNet +38.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +38.7 More โ†’ 0.989 (#10) AdjNet +38.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 51.7 More โ†’ 0.898 (#9) AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 51.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 55.6 More โ†’ 0.824 (#11) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 55.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.940 (#8) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.933 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1421 (#9) RD 118 | GP 32

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 84 - 65
2010-11-15 @ Michigan Wolverines W 85 - 76
2010-11-23 vs Louisville Cardinals W 71 - 59
2010-11-26 vs Troy Trojans W 99 - 37
2010-11-27 vs Delaware State Hornets W 72 - 41
2010-11-30 vs Mississippi Valley State Devilettes W 85 - 40
2010-12-02 vs USC Trojans W 69 - 66
2010-12-05 @ Cincinnati Bearcats W 69 - 61
2010-12-09 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 65 - 52
2010-12-17 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 61 - 36
2010-12-21 @ Duke Blue Devils L 45 - 46
2010-12-28 @ Stanford Cardinal L 52 - 89
2011-01-05 vs Missouri Tigers W 83 - 51
2011-01-09 vs Dayton Flyers W 63 - 59
2011-01-12 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks W 75 - 54
2011-01-16 @ Massachusetts Minutewomen W 81 - 55
2011-01-19 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 76 - 56
2011-01-22 @ Charlotte 49ers W 82 - 61
2011-01-29 vs Rhode Island Rams W 67 - 45
2011-02-01 vs La Salle Explorers W 102 - 51
2011-02-05 @ Dayton Flyers W 70 - 66
2011-02-09 @ Richmond Spiders W 79 - 57
2011-02-12 vs Fordham Rams W 77 - 55
2011-02-16 @ Saint Louis Billikens W 92 - 60
2011-02-20 vs Duquesne Dukes W 77 - 51
2011-02-23 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 67 - 41
2011-02-27 @ Temple Owls W 73 - 66
2011-03-05 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 71 - 55
2011-03-06 vs Charlotte 49ers W 69 - 53
2011-03-07 vs Dayton Flyers W 67 - 60
2011-03-20 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 72 - 56
2011-03-22 vs Louisville Cardinals L 75 - 85

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Harris A. Harris F 22 0.0 18.1 10.3 2.0 1.4 2.3 3.0 14.2 16.9 432 27 16.0 20.8 51.4 28.0 61.9 1.77 55.0 52.6
T. Phillips T. Phillips C 24 0.0 16.1 13.0 0.9 0.7 1.5 1.6 11.1 19.4 500 27 18.5 24.9 58.8 0 62.1 8.33 60.7 58.8
T. Moss T. Moss NA 24 0.0 10.5 4.2 3.0 1.0 0.3 2.3 10.4 6.4 474 27 17.6 22.6 36.1 34.2 76.7 6.23 48.2 46.2
S. Jennings S. Jennings G 24 0.0 8.5 2.4 4.8 2.1 0.2 2.3 6.8 8.9 481 27 17.8 22.6 38.7 31.7 74.7 4.05 51.8 44.8
K. Rutan K. Rutan NA 2 0.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 5.5 3.5 270 24 11.2 19.2 36.4 36.4 0 1.83 54.5 54.5
M. Askew M. Askew G 24 0.0 5.7 4.9 1.9 0.9 0.6 1.9 6.4 5.8 252 27 9.3 17.1 36.6 6.2 69.7 -1.03 40.6 36.9

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG