Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.9% | 32.1% | -12.8 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.0% | 26.0% | -5.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -4 (66-70). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Jennings | 0 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 20 | - |
| T. Moss | 0 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Amber Harris | 0 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| T. Phillips | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| M. Askew | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Queen | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Daugherty | 0 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| P. Lalor | 0 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| C. Nance | 0 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Raterman | 0 | 11-21 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 12 | - |
* = starter