Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +7 (67-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Raterman | 0 | 9-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| P. Lalor | 0 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| E. Queen | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Daugherty | 0 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| C. Nance | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Harris | 0 | 5-17 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| S. Jennings | 0 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| T. Moss | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Phillips | 0 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| M. Askew | 0 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
* = starter