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Xavier

Also known as: Xavier Musketeers, Xavier
Program History

2011 Team Stats (11 games)

70.6
PPG
63.2
Opp
+7.5
Margin
47.3%
FG%
32.2%
3P%
75.6%
FT%
34.5
RPG
14.2
APG
11.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.1
Adj PPG
62.0
Adj Opp PPG
#51
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1373 (#22) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1220 (#35) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 1086 (#50) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +10.8 (#52) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +11.3 (#44) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.778 (#39) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.6 More โ†’ 0.871 (#51) AdjNet +16.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.7 More โ†’ 0.873 (#52) AdjNet +16.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 62.0 More โ†’ 0.714 (#51) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 62.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 61.9 More โ†’ 0.675 (#37) AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 61.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.779 (#42) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.772 (#42) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 117 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1232 (#32) RD 117 | GP 30

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 68 - 65
2010-11-16 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 76 - 66
2010-11-19 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 86 - 73
2010-11-21 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 57 - 52
2010-11-22 vs Old Dominion Monarchs L 58 - 67
2010-11-27 vs Wofford Terriers W 94 - 90
2010-12-01 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks L 64 - 75
2010-12-09 vs Butler Bulldogs W 51 - 49
2010-12-18 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 83 - 75
2010-12-22 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 54 - 64
2010-12-28 vs UAlbany Great Danes W 88 - 64
2010-12-31 vs Florida Gators L 67 - 71
2011-01-06 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 46 - 66
2011-01-09 @ Rhode Island Rams W 72 - 45
2011-01-12 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 79 - 50
2011-01-15 vs Dayton Flyers W 81 - 76
2011-01-19 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 79 - 65
2011-01-22 vs Temple Owls W 88 - 77
2011-01-26 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 81 - 74
2011-01-29 @ Richmond Spiders W 85 - 62
2011-02-02 @ Charlotte 49ers L 62 - 66
2011-02-05 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 76 - 68
2011-02-08 @ Georgia Bulldogs W 65 - 57
2011-02-13 @ Duquesne Dukes W 71 - 63
2011-02-16 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks W 74 - 54
2011-02-19 vs Fordham Rams W 79 - 72
2011-02-22 vs La Salle Explorers W 100 - 62
2011-02-27 @ Dayton Flyers W 66 - 62
2011-03-02 vs Charlotte 49ers W 68 - 48
2011-03-05 @ Saint Louis Billikens W 66 - 55
2011-03-11 vs Dayton Flyers L 67 - 68
2011-03-18 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 55 - 66

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tu Holloway Tu Holloway G 20 38.0 18.9 5.3 5.3 1.2 0.1 3.3 7.5 20.1 166 28 5.9 6.6 42.4 33.8 87.8 0.24 99.4 50.3
Mark Lyons Mark Lyons G 20 34.1 13.3 3.4 3.4 0.8 0.3 2.7 6.8 11.7 160 28 5.7 7.0 43.7 28.0 68.2 -0.21 86.2 48.9
Kenny Frease Kenny Frease C 20 29.1 11.8 6.7 1.5 0.3 0.8 1.4 5.7 14.0 206 28 7.4 11.2 54.0 0 73.8 5.91 89.4 54.0
Jamel McLean Jamel McLean F 19 29.5 11.2 8.0 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.6 4.7 14.7 177 27 6.6 9.2 55.1 0.0 68.5 3.11 94.0 55.1
Dante Jackson Dante Jackson G 20 34.5 7.5 3.0 1.6 1.2 0.2 1.1 4.3 8.2 160 28 5.7 6.8 36.0 34.4 76.9 -0.21 81.8 48.3
Jeff Robinson Jeff Robinson F 20 16.4 4.8 2.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.7 2.6 5.6 30 28 1.1 2.7 53.8 33.3 73.3 -1.62 81.9 56.7
Andrew Taylor Andrew Taylor F 20 11.9 3.6 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.6 4.2 6 28 0.2 0.9 77.4 0 83.3 -1.15 108.5 77.4
Jay Canty Jay Canty F 6 4.8 2.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.7 -26 14 -1.9 -10.1 55.6 25.0 75.0 -4.57 65.1 61.1
Griffin McKenzie Griffin McKenzie F 10 2.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.5 -4 14 -0.3 -4.2 75.0 100.0 0 -0.23 137.5 100.0
Johnny Mazza Johnny Mazza G 6 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0 7 0.0 0.0 50.0 50.0 0 -0.58 75.0 75.0
Jordan Latham Jordan Latham F 12 4.9 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 9 15 0.6 4.9 37.5 0 0 1.43 37.5 37.5
Kevin Feeney Kevin Feeney G 9 2.9 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.7 -8 11 -0.7 -8.7 0.0 0.0 50.0 -1.38 36.2 0.0
Joe Hughes Joe Hughes F 6 1.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 -1 7 -0.1 -3.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.78 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG