Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +5 (81-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Staten * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Chris Wright * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 26 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Devin Searcy * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Benson | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Josh Parker | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Spearman | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Devin Oliver | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Jackson * | 39 | 1-10 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Tu Holloway * | 39 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Jamel McLean * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Mark Lyons * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Kenny Frease * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Jeff Robinson | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Taylor | 7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Latham | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter