Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | ✓ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +20 (66-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Holloway | 39 | 2-13 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4 | - |
| D. Jackson | 38 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Lyons | 34 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| J. McLean | 34 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| K. Frease | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Robinson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Taylor | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Feeney | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Latham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. McKenzie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Gates | 37 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 24 | - |
| D. Dixon | 36 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| R. Bishop | 28 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Wright | 27 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| I. Thomas | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Davis | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Wilks | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Kilpatrick | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. McClain | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter