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Wright State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Wright State Raiders
Program History
Coach: Billy Donlon

2012 Team Stats (4 games)

54.0
PPG
63.8
Opp
-9.8
Margin
37.7%
FG%
32.4%
3P%
74.2%
FT%
25.5
RPG
8.8
APG
15.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
58.7
Adj PPG
61.1
Adj Opp PPG
#209
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1015 (#158) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 958 (#198) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 959 (#223) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -2.3 (#204) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -2.6 (#205) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.355 (#240) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.6 More → 0.399 (#198) AdjNet -3.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.6 More → 0.397 (#197) AdjNet -3.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 61.1 More → 0.447 (#209) AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 61.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 61.8 More → 0.445 (#230) AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 61.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.430 (#202) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.430 (#209) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 162 | GP 28 More → 958 (#198) RD 162 | GP 28

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 42 - 73
2011-11-13 vs Kenyon Lords W 80 - 56
2011-11-16 vs Jackson State Tigers W 56 - 39
2011-11-21 @ Florida Gators L 65 - 78
2011-11-23 @ North Florida Ospreys L 52 - 69
2011-11-26 vs Charlotte 49ers L 66 - 70
2011-12-01 vs Cleveland State Vikings L 43 - 45
2011-12-03 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 63 - 62
2011-12-07 @ Air Force Falcons L 34 - 55
2011-12-10 @ Miami (OH) Redhawks W 51 - 49
2011-12-14 vs Cincinnati Bearcats L 58 - 78
2011-12-17 vs Ohio Bobcats L 54 - 82
2011-12-20 vs Idaho Vandals W 80 - 78
2011-12-22 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 60 - 42
2011-12-29 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 64 - 48
2011-12-31 @ UIC Flames W 74 - 70
2012-01-06 vs Butler Bulldogs L 62 - 63
2012-01-08 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 73 - 55
2012-01-14 @ Green Bay Phoenix L 56 - 57
2012-01-25 vs UIC Flames W 69 - 63
2012-01-27 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 47 - 41
2012-02-04 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 54 - 63
2012-02-10 vs Green Bay Phoenix L 48 - 53
2012-02-12 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 70 - 46
2012-02-15 vs Detroit Mercy Titans L 55 - 71
2012-02-18 @ Kansas City Roos W 76 - 62
2012-02-23 @ Youngstown State Penguins L 54 - 61
2012-02-25 @ Cleveland State Vikings L 55 - 77
2012-02-28 @ Butler Bulldogs L 52 - 70

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Julius Mays Julius Mays G 28 33.6 14.7 2.9 2.5 1.3 0.1 1.9 3.7 15.9 31 24 1.3 1.6 45.2 34.4 88.6 4.54 167.0 50.5
C. Hopkins C. Hopkins G 1 24.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Reggie Arceneaux Reggie Arceneaux G 29 28.8 8.8 2.1 2.2 1.1 0.0 2.6 3.1 8.7 -39 26 -1.5 -2.3 38.9 29.7 69.2 0.55 133.2 45.0
Armond Battle Armond Battle F 27 23.5 6.4 3.6 0.9 1.0 0.4 1.6 2.7 8.0 -27 24 -1.1 -2.1 30.1 24.0 65.9 -1.76 95.6 34.2
Cole Darling Cole Darling F 27 20.1 6.4 3.5 0.8 0.7 0.2 1.1 1.1 9.4 -7 26 -0.3 -0.6 41.4 28.6 72.7 0.45 255.6 44.8
A.J. Pacher A.J. Pacher F 29 13.7 5.2 3.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 1.5 1.6 6.3 -27 26 -1.0 -3.2 47.8 50.0 70.0 -1.01 148.8 54.3
Vance Hall Vance Hall G 28 20.5 4.6 1.5 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.7 1.2 5.9 -47 24 -2.0 -4.2 34.3 40.0 40.0 -2.04 172.0 45.7
John Balwigaire John Balwigaire G 28 18.1 4.4 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.0 0.7 1.4 5.2 -52 25 -2.1 -4.8 42.1 34.8 100.0 -2.42 155.1 52.6
Johann Mpondo Johann Mpondo F 29 18.3 4.2 3.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 1.0 1.2 6.0 -70 26 -2.7 -5.9 44.4 0 50.0 -3.92 154.4 44.4
Tavares Sledge Tavares Sledge F 29 11.7 3.0 2.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.1 0.6 4.7 -22 25 -0.9 -3.5 17.6 0 60.0 -3.02 200.9 17.6
Matt Vest Matt Vest G 17 10.6 2.2 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.6 3.0 -64 17 -3.8 -15.6 50.0 25.0 83.3 -4.03 146.4 55.0
Kendall Griffin Kendall Griffin G 22 12.4 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 1.0 0.1 3.5 -53 19 -2.8 -10.5 0.0 0.0 66.7 -3.49 416.7 0.0
Jason Cuffee Jason Cuffee - 13 6.7 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.8 - - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 150.0 75.0
Stephen Gossard Stephen Gossard F 5 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 3 5 0.6 32.0 0 0 0 -0.3 0 0
Ulysses Thomas Ulysses Thomas - 6 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG