Model Predictions
| Model | Wright State Raiders | Green Bay Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | +5.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Green Bay Phoenix +1 (57-56). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Mays * | 36 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Reggie Arceneaux * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Vance Hall * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Johann Mpondo * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Cole Darling * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Armond Battle | 28 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| AJ Pacher | 19 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| John Balwigaire | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Matt Vest | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tavares Sledge | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Green Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Brown * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 22 | - |
| Keifer Sykes * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Steve Baker * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kam Cerroni * | 21 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Brennan Cougill * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Josh Humphrey | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Armstead | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Terry Johnson | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Greg Mays | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter