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Wagner

Also known as: Wagner Seahawks
Program History

2011 Team Stats (2 games)

57.0
PPG
72.0
Opp
-15.0
Margin
37.0%
FG%
40.0%
3P%
80.0%
FT%
26.0
RPG
13.5
APG
15.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.4
Adj PPG
69.8
Adj Opp PPG
#223
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 819 (#272) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 963 (#201) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 937 (#269) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -3.9 (#227) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -6.1 (#259) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.383 (#230) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.1 More โ†’ 0.306 (#235) AdjNet -7.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.3 More โ†’ 0.302 (#235) AdjNet -7.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 69.8 More โ†’ 0.423 (#223) AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 69.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 70.6 More โ†’ 0.429 (#251) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 70.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.362 (#242) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.364 (#245) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 158 | GP 27 More โ†’ 901 (#239) RD 158 | GP 27

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs Lafayette Leopards W 63 - 58
2010-11-15 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 57 - 73
2010-11-21 @ Stony Brook Seawolves W 58 - 54
2010-11-26 @ Hofstra Pride L 63 - 67
2010-11-29 @ Bucknell Bison W 77 - 73
2010-12-01 @ St. John's Red Storm L 61 - 69
2010-12-04 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 73 - 68
2010-12-07 @ Columbia Lions L 71 - 77
2010-12-11 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks L 50 - 51
2010-12-17 vs Princeton Tigers L 57 - 69
2010-12-21 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 51 - 86
2010-12-30 vs Albany Great Danes W 80 - 65
2011-01-03 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats W 73 - 68
2011-01-06 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 83 - 78
2011-01-08 vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 81 - 53
2011-01-15 @ Long Island University Sharks L 54 - 84
2011-01-20 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 90 - 80
2011-01-22 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers L 76 - 79
2011-01-27 @ Bryant Bulldogs W 80 - 75
2011-01-29 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils L 71 - 75
2011-02-03 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 61 - 57
2011-02-09 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 57 - 71
2011-02-17 vs Long Island University Sharks L 79 - 83
2011-02-19 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 73 - 77
2011-02-24 @ St. Francis (PA) Red Flash L 78 - 84
2011-02-26 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 49 - 66
2011-03-03 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 74 - 78

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tyler Murray Tyler Murray G 15 36.5 15.7 4.2 3.9 1.3 0.2 3.1 2.7 19.5 -19 24 -0.8 -0.9 30.0 25.0 77.8 0.73 246.2 35.0
Latif Rivers Latif Rivers G 15 32.7 13.9 3.2 3.0 0.8 0.4 3.8 2.4 15.1 -30 24 -1.2 -1.7 47.2 42.9 100.0 -1.69 282.0 55.6
Chris Martin Chris Martin G 14 30.1 11.7 2.7 3.9 0.9 0.0 3.1 1.8 14.3 9 23 0.4 0.6 40.0 47.1 87.5 -1.16 287.5 56.0
Orlando Parker Orlando Parker F 15 25.4 9.4 5.7 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.3 15.2 53 24 2.2 4.1 35.0 0.0 50.0 2.94 337.6 35.0
Josh Thompson Josh Thompson F 15 24.2 6.6 3.7 1.7 1.1 0.7 1.7 1.1 10.9 -19 24 -0.8 -1.5 23.5 0 71.4 1.42 246.5 23.5
Naofall Folahan Naofall Folahan C 15 16.0 4.5 2.5 0.2 0.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 6.4 -21 24 -0.9 -2.2 42.9 0 50.0 -1.64 212.6 42.9
Danny Mundweiler Danny Mundweiler G 15 18.5 3.8 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.5 4.9 -58 24 -2.4 -5.3 37.5 40.0 66.7 -3.94 267.9 50.0
Clifton Spiller Clifton Spiller C 14 10.0 2.6 2.2 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 5.3 -37 21 -1.8 -7.7 0.0 0 0 -3.15 1850.0 0.0
Clayfell Harris Clayfell Harris C 8 4.6 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 1.5 -36 12 -3.0 -22.6 0.0 0 0 -3.49 550.0 0.0
T.J. Czeski T.J. Czeski G 9 10.3 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.8 0.0 2.0 -56 16 -3.5 -20.5 0 0 0 -5.47 0 0
Ryan Schrotenboer Ryan Schrotenboer F 8 6.6 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.4 -8 16 -0.5 -3.4 50.0 0 0 -1.61 175.0 50.0
J. Daniell J. Daniell F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brett Stewart Brett Stewart F 2 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.42 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG