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Wagner Seahawks

Also known as: Wagner Seahawks
Program History

2011 Team Stats (2 games)

57.0
PPG
72.0
Opp
-15.0
Margin
37.0%
FG%
40.0%
3P%
80.0%
FT%
26.0
RPG
13.5
APG
15.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.4
Adj PPG
69.8
Adj Opp PPG
#223
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 819 (#272) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 963 (#201) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 937 (#269) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -3.9 (#227) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -6.1 (#259) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.383 (#230) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.1 More โ†’ 0.306 (#235) AdjNet -7.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.3 More โ†’ 0.302 (#235) AdjNet -7.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 69.8 More โ†’ 0.423 (#223) AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 69.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 70.6 More โ†’ 0.429 (#251) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 70.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.362 (#242) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.364 (#245) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 158 | GP 27 More โ†’ 901 (#239) RD 158 | GP 27

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs Lafayette Leopards W 63 - 58
2010-11-15 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 57 - 73
2010-11-21 @ Stony Brook Seawolves W 58 - 54
2010-11-26 @ Hofstra Pride L 63 - 67
2010-11-29 @ Bucknell Bison W 77 - 73
2010-12-01 @ St. John's Red Storm L 61 - 69
2010-12-04 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 73 - 68
2010-12-07 @ Columbia Lions L 71 - 77
2010-12-11 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks L 50 - 51
2010-12-17 vs Princeton Tigers L 57 - 69
2010-12-21 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 51 - 86
2010-12-30 vs Albany Great Danes W 80 - 65
2011-01-03 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats W 73 - 68
2011-01-06 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 83 - 78
2011-01-08 vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 81 - 53
2011-01-15 @ Long Island University Sharks L 54 - 84
2011-01-20 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 90 - 80
2011-01-22 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers L 76 - 79
2011-01-27 @ Bryant Bulldogs W 80 - 75
2011-01-29 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils L 71 - 75
2011-02-03 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 61 - 57
2011-02-09 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 57 - 71
2011-02-17 vs Long Island University Sharks L 79 - 83
2011-02-19 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 73 - 77
2011-02-24 @ St. Francis (PA) Red Flash L 78 - 84
2011-02-26 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 49 - 66
2011-03-03 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 74 - 78

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tyler Murray Tyler Murray G 15 36.5 15.7 4.2 3.9 1.3 0.2 3.1 2.7 19.5 -19 24 -0.8 -0.9 30.0 25.0 77.8 0.73 246.2 35.0
Latif Rivers Latif Rivers G 15 32.7 13.9 3.2 3.0 0.8 0.4 3.8 2.4 15.1 -30 24 -1.2 -1.7 47.2 42.9 100.0 -1.69 282.0 55.6
Chris Martin Chris Martin G 14 30.1 11.7 2.7 3.9 0.9 0.0 3.1 1.8 14.3 9 23 0.4 0.6 40.0 47.1 87.5 -1.16 287.5 56.0
Orlando Parker Orlando Parker F 15 25.4 9.4 5.7 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.3 15.2 53 24 2.2 4.1 35.0 0.0 50.0 2.94 337.6 35.0
Josh Thompson Josh Thompson F 15 24.2 6.6 3.7 1.7 1.1 0.7 1.7 1.1 10.9 -19 24 -0.8 -1.5 23.5 0 71.4 1.42 246.5 23.5
Naofall Folahan Naofall Folahan C 15 16.0 4.5 2.5 0.2 0.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 6.4 -21 24 -0.9 -2.2 42.9 0 50.0 -1.64 212.6 42.9
Danny Mundweiler Danny Mundweiler G 15 18.5 3.8 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.5 4.9 -58 24 -2.4 -5.3 37.5 40.0 66.7 -3.94 267.9 50.0
Clifton Spiller Clifton Spiller C 14 10.0 2.6 2.2 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 5.3 -37 21 -1.8 -7.7 0.0 0 0 -3.15 1850.0 0.0
Clayfell Harris Clayfell Harris C 8 4.6 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 1.5 -36 12 -3.0 -22.6 0.0 0 0 -3.49 550.0 0.0
T.J. Czeski T.J. Czeski G 9 10.3 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.8 0.0 2.0 -56 16 -3.5 -20.5 0 0 0 -5.47 0 0
Ryan Schrotenboer Ryan Schrotenboer F 8 6.6 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.4 -8 16 -0.5 -3.4 50.0 0 0 -1.61 175.0 50.0
J. Daniell J. Daniell F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brett Stewart Brett Stewart F 2 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.42 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG