Model Predictions
| Model | Wagner Seahawks | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.1% | 48.9% | -0.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +14 (71-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latif Rivers * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Tyler Murray * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Chris Martin * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Orlando Parker * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Naofall Folahan * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Josh Thompson | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Danny Mundweiler | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Clifton Spiller | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Schrotenboer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Norfleet * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Lamar Trice * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Atupem * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Raven Barber * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| David Golladay * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Josh Castellanos | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Jean Cajou | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Danny Thompson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Tayvon Jackson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jacolby Wells | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter