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2011-02-19

Model Predictions

Model St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers Wagner Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 46.4% 53.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—
Margin 30.3% 69.7% +4.6 โœ— (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 43.0% 57.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.1% 59.9% - โœ—

Actual: Wagner Seahawks -4 (73-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bennett * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 2 22 27 -
R. Cadell * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 4 24 25 -
S. Perunicic * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 2 4 -
D. Calloway * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 8 9 -
M. Milk * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
T. Nichols 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 8 12 -
A. Johnson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 8 13 -
J. Newton 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 3 -
M. Trivic 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
A. Chmielewski 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -

Wagner Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Murray * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 6 18 20 -
Chris Martin * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 5 14 16 -
T.J. Czeski * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 2 7 -
Clifton Spiller * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
Clayfell Harris * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Orlando Parker 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 1 14 21 -
Josh Thompson 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 10 15 -
Danny Mundweiler 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 3 7 -
Latif Rivers 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 0 6 8 8 -
Naofall Folahan 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 1 0 3 -

* = starter