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Wagner Seahawks

Also known as: Wagner Seahawks
Program History

2005 Team Stats (3 games)

61.3
PPG
55.7
Opp
+5.7
Margin
47.1%
FG%
25.9%
3P%
61.7%
FT%
40.3
RPG
11.3
APG
14.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
58.5
Adj PPG
64.7
Adj Opp PPG
#252
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1070 (#109) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 908 (#231) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +110 elo More โ†’ 1076 (#62) HCA +110 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -7.0 (#255) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More โ†’ -2.7 (#205) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.370 (#225) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.4 More โ†’ 0.213 (#261) AdjNet -11.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.4 More โ†’ 0.211 (#261) AdjNet -11.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 64.7 More โ†’ 0.362 (#252) AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 64.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 60.0 More โ†’ 0.514 (#147) AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 60.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.428 (#203) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.459 (#192) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 133 | GP 30 More โ†’ 967 (#182) RD 133 | GP 30

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-20 @ St. John's Red Storm L 68 - 79
2004-11-23 @ American University Eagles L 49 - 70
2004-11-27 vs Albany Great Danes W 66 - 65
2004-11-30 vs Brown Bears L 60 - 76
2004-12-04 vs Long Island University Sharks L 73 - 93
2004-12-12 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 75 - 82
2004-12-19 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 50 - 62
2004-12-21 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 56 - 86
2004-12-23 @ Drake Bulldogs L 63 - 70
2004-12-30 @ Stony Brook Seawolves L 55 - 56
2005-01-02 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 45 - 59
2005-01-05 vs Monmouth Hawks L 61 - 83
2005-01-10 @ Long Island University Sharks L 55 - 59
2005-01-15 vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 89 - 70
2005-01-17 vs Robert Morris Colonials L 50 - 68
2005-01-22 @ St. Francis (PA) Red Flash L 45 - 63
2005-01-24 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 57 - 65
2005-01-29 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 54 - 43
2005-01-31 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 87 - 57
2005-02-04 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 72 - 55
2005-02-07 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 66 - 61
2005-02-10 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 61 - 42
2005-02-12 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 62 - 61
2005-02-16 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats L 72 - 76
2005-02-20 @ Monmouth Hawks W 60 - 53
2005-02-25 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 60 - 54
2005-02-28 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 67 - 59
2005-03-03 @ Robert Morris Colonials W 69 - 65
2005-03-06 @ Monmouth Hawks W 63 - 60
2005-03-09 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 52 - 58

2005 Roster

No roster data available for this season.