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Wagner Seahawks 55
@
Stony Brook Seawolves 56
2004-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Wagner Seahawks Stony Brook Seawolves Spread Result
Elo 59.7% 40.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 42.5% 57.5% - ✓
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 ✓ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 43.2% 56.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% - ✓

Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves +1 (56-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wagner Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McLemore 38 4-7 1-1 1-2 4 2 2 0 3 10 8 -
Sean Munson 32 3-10 0-0 6-9 11 1 4 0 3 12 15 -
M. Vitale 31 1-6 0-4 2-2 6 2 1 1 1 4 7 -
M. Porter 31 6-12 1-3 1-2 5 2 1 1 6 14 5 -
J. Ulrich 24 4-11 1-6 1-1 2 1 1 1 1 10 3 -
D. Vinson 21 2-8 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 1 5 3 -
J. Drummond 15 0-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Rudakas 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Santiago 38 3-10 1-5 0-0 4 5 1 1 2 7 6 -
A. Hardy 37 7-13 2-6 4-4 5 3 0 0 1 20 14 -
Cori Spencer 34 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 6 6 -
M. Orfini 24 0-7 0-2 1-2 9 2 1 0 1 1 5 -
J. McCollum 23 1-3 0-0 5-6 3 2 2 0 4 7 7 -
M. Popoko 19 3-5 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 7 3 -
J. Kobryn 17 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 4 8 3 -
A. Noble 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 0 2 -
H. Feist 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Wilky Colin 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter