Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | +21.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks +17 (72-55). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Thompson | 31 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Butler | 29 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Mychal Kearse | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| N. Gaines | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Charles Cook | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Carbone | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Chris Sumner | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Antonio Johnson | 14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Chris Vann | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Epps | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Loughry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Drew Gaeng | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Whitney | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Porter | 35 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| James Ulrich | 34 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| D. McLemore | 27 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Sean Munson | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| M. Vitale | 26 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Durell Vinson | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Justin Drummond | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jason Rudakas | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jamal Webb | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Passalacqua | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter