Virginia Cavaliers - 2025

2025 Team Stats (7 games)

62.3

PPG

82.0

Opp

-19.7

Margin

38.4%

FG%

32.2%

3P%

67.8%

FT%

34.3

RPG

13.1

APG

16.3

TO

82.7

Pace

73.9

AdjO

61.4

AdjD

#63

Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1042 (#145)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1125 (#98)	-
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More →	+12.6 (#65)	HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.607 (#135)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More →	0.592 (#137)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.9 More →	0.899 (#65)	AdjNet +18.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.5 More →	0.906 (#62)	AdjNet +19.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.9 \| AdjD 61.4 More →	0.757 (#63)	AdjO 73.9 \| AdjD 61.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2024-11-08	@	Oklahoma Sooners	L	51 - 95
2024-12-29	@	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	L	54 - 95
2025-01-12	vs	Duke Blue Devils	L	55 - 60
2025-01-19	@	NC State Wolfpack	L	68 - 73
2025-01-23	vs	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	L	62 - 75
2025-02-06	vs	Florida State Seminoles	L	68 - 101
2025-03-02	@	North Carolina Tar Heels	W	78 - 75

2025 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
K. Johnson	G	7	37.4	15.4	5.4	5.6	2.0	0.0	4.1	14.0	10.3	54	1.7	4.2	41.8	34.2	92.9	1.08	51.8	48.5
L. Lattimore	F	7	29.7	12.1	6.3	1.1	0.6	2.1	3.6	10.3	8.4	-3	-0.1	-0.1	38.9	36.8	62.9	0.55	48.6	43.8
P. Clark	G	7	32.3	10.7	3.9	2.7	1.1	0.6	2.3	12.0	4.7	18	0.6	0.8	38.1	15.4	58.3	0.94	42.0	40.5
B. Hurd	F	7	22.7	9.0	4.9	0.7	0.6	0.4	2.1	8.6	4.9	10	0.3	0.4	38.3	37.5	57.9	0.88	46.1	43.3
O. McGhee	G	7	33.3	6.9	2.6	0.9	0.7	0.7	1.1	6.6	4.0	-19	-0.6	-0.8	37.0	41.9	50.0	0.3	51.2	51.1
E. Noyan	F	7	27.0	6.3	4.3	1.4	0.9	1.7	1.4	6.0	7.1	-6	-0.2	-0.3	42.9	33.3	66.7	0.46	50.8	50.0
R. Grays	F	5	10.0	2.2	2.2	0.2	0.6	0.0	1.0	2.4	1.8	-6	-0.3	-0.7	33.3	0	100.0	0.05	41.3	33.3
C. Valenti-Paea	G	5	8.6	0.4	1.4	0.6	0.4	0.0	0.2	1.4	1.2	-30	-1.0	-2.6	0.0	0.0	100.0	-0.15	12.7	0.0
T. Lauterbach	C	4	6.5	0.0	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.5	0.2	0.8	0.8	9	0.4	1.4	0.0	0.0	0	-0.1	0.0	0.0
P. Dunbar	G	1	4.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	-1.0	13	0.9	3.4	0.0	0.0	0	-0.32	0.0	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG