Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.4% | 2.6% | -19.9 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| KenPom Style | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -5 (55-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mair | 27 | 2-9 | 2-6 | - | 2 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 7 | ||
| O. Okananwa | 26 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | |
| R. Richardson | 26 | 3-8 | -4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 | |
| J. Donovan | 26 | 1-4 | - | - | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| A. Jackson | 22 | 5-12 | 1-5 | - | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -1 | ||
| D. Thomas | 21 | 2-5 | - | - | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | |
| T. Fournier | 20 | 3-9 | - | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5 | ||
| V. de Jesus | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | - | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | |||
| E. Koabel | 10 | -1 | -1 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
| J. Wood | 9 | -3 | -2 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. McGhee | 40 | 4-7 | 3-5 | - | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 |
| K. Johnson | 39 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 6 | |
| L. Lattimore | 37 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 |
| E. Noyan | 33 | 4-6 | -1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 |
| P. Clark | 29 | 3-10 | -4 | - | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | |
| B. Hurd | 17 | -2 | -1 | - | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| R. Grays | 5 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 |
* = starter