Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +19.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| KenPom Style | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Clark | 40 | 6-9 | -2 | - | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 |
| O. McGhee | 39 | 3-7 | 3-6 | - | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | ||
| K. Johnson | 38 | 8-15 | 3-6 | - | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | |
| L. Lattimore | 35 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 17 | |
| E. Noyan | 29 | 1-3 | -1 | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| B. Hurd | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | - | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | ||
| C. Valenti-Paea | 3 | - | - | - | 0 |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Brooks | 40 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | |
| Player #4433807 | 40 | 8-21 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 4 | ||
| M. Hayes | 39 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 19 | |
| T. Trygger | 29 | 4-10 | 1-1 | - | 13 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | ||
| Player #4433514 | 29 | 3-8 | -2 | - | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | |
| M. Collier | 10 | 1-2 | - | - | 2 | 0 | |||||
| D. Quigley | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | - | 1 | 3 | 3 | ||||
| M. Cox | 3 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| Z. Jones | 3 | -2 | -2 | - | -2 |
* = starter