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2024-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
ELO 7.4% 92.6% -
Bradley-Terry 14.0% 86.0% -
Margin 1.6% 98.4% +22.7 (21.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.9% 63.1% -
Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% -
KenPom Style 44.5% 55.5% -
Log Adjusted 44.6% 55.4% -
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% -

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners +44 (95-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
K. Johnson 34 4-13 2-7 - 5 4 2 5 10 3
B. Hurd 31 6-17 2-4 1-2 5 2 3 4 15 4
P. Clark 30 4-13 1-5 2-4 2 3 4 11 -1
O. McGhee 26 1-6 -3 - 4 1 2 1 2 2
E. Noyan 20 2-5 1-3 - 2 1 2 1 5 4
L. Lattimore 19 1-6 1-2 2-4 3 1 4 5 -1
T. Lauterbach 17 -2 - - 4 1 2 5
R. Grays 12 1-5 - 1-1 3 1 3 0
C. Valenti-Paea 7 -1 -1 - 1 1 1
P. Dunbar 4 -1 -1 - -1

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
S. Vann 23 3-9 2-6 - 10 3 1 1 2 8 12
R. Beers 22 11-16 1-2 3-3 14 2 2 1 26 27
N. Tot 22 -2 -2 - 3 4 5
P. Verhulst 22 5-7 2-4 1-2 4 5 3 3 13 15
S. Williams 21 6-15 1-4 1-3 4 2 3 1 2 14 7
L. Keys 18 1-7 -6 1-1 1 2 2 3 1
K. Johnson 15 4-7 -1 -2 8 1 1 1 8 12
L. Scott 12 4-8 - - 3 1 1 8 5
R. Scott 11 5-6 -1 - 2 2 2 10 6
A. Joens 11 -5 -5 - 3 1 -3
B. Culliton 10 -3 - - 4 1 1 2 1
Z. Vann 9 1-3 -1 2-2 1 2 1 4 3
L. Allen 2 -2 - - 1 -1
C. Smith 2 - - 1-2 1 1 2

* = starter