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VMI

Also known as: VMI Keydets, VMI
Program History

2012 Team Stats (8 games)

75.9
PPG
89.5
Opp
-13.6
Margin
40.0%
FG%
31.4%
3P%
73.9%
FT%
31.4
RPG
12.0
APG
13.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.7
Adj PPG
80.6
Adj Opp PPG
#275
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 959 (#186) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 937 (#213) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1030 (#126) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -7.4 (#278) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -3.8 (#229) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.366 (#235) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.3 More โ†’ 0.256 (#258) AdjNet -9.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.3 More โ†’ 0.254 (#258) AdjNet -9.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 80.6 More โ†’ 0.348 (#275) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 80.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 73.1 More โ†’ 0.463 (#208) AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 73.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.398 (#223) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.421 (#213) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 27 More โ†’ 961 (#195) RD 149 | GP 27

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 103 - 100
2011-11-12 @ Air Force Falcons L 65 - 75
2011-11-15 vs Alice Lloyd Eagles W 101 - 74
2011-11-19 vs UMBC Retrievers W 84 - 79
2011-11-23 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 74 - 107
2011-12-01 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 78 - 87
2011-12-03 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 81 - 114
2011-12-06 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 70 - 97
2011-12-08 vs Central Penn Knights W 109 - 86
2011-12-10 vs Milligan Buffaloes W 122 - 73
2011-12-12 @ Longwood Lancers L 89 - 110
2011-12-22 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 73 - 81
2011-12-31 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 78 - 70
2012-01-02 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 76 - 72
2012-01-05 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 85 - 94
2012-01-07 @ Winthrop Eagles L 84 - 91
2012-01-10 vs Liberty Flames W 71 - 57
2012-01-14 vs Radford Highlanders W 80 - 76
2012-01-19 vs High Point Panthers W 88 - 77
2012-01-21 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 73 - 80
2012-01-26 @ Radford Highlanders W 65 - 60
2012-02-02 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 86 - 89
2012-02-04 vs Winthrop Eagles W 86 - 79
2012-02-09 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 74 - 94
2012-02-11 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 61 - 77
2012-02-14 @ Liberty Flames L 69 - 78
2012-02-18 vs William & Mary Tribe W 73 - 65
2012-02-23 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 90 - 81
2012-02-25 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 64 - 81
2012-02-27 vs Radford Highlanders W 55 - 53
2012-02-29 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 85 - 68
2012-03-01 @ Winthrop Eagles W 75 - 55
2012-03-03 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 64 - 80

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Keith Gabriel Keith Gabriel G 32 28.7 17.6 3.4 1.9 1.8 1.2 2.2 7.0 16.8 3 22 0.1 0.2 41.5 33.9 75.3 2.18 109.7 50.4
Stan Okoye Stan Okoye F 32 28.9 17.1 7.2 2.0 1.5 0.7 2.7 5.5 20.2 90 22 4.1 6.0 48.9 22.2 71.4 5.37 130.3 50.6
Ron Burks Ron Burks F 32 31.0 9.7 3.7 3.2 1.2 0.2 2.5 3.6 11.9 -67 22 -3.0 -4.0 40.9 33.3 73.2 -3.46 111.0 48.7
Michael Sparks Michael Sparks G 32 21.3 8.1 2.5 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.7 2.9 8.0 -13 22 -0.6 -1.2 43.6 38.2 81.1 -1.35 117.4 57.4
Jordan Weethee Jordan Weethee F 32 14.6 6.8 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.9 2.3 6.9 -3 22 -0.1 -0.4 46.7 34.7 80.0 -1.23 141.8 58.0
Rodney Glasgow Rodney Glasgow G 27 21.9 6.2 1.8 2.8 0.9 0.0 1.3 2.1 8.1 -20 19 -1.1 -2.3 34.5 31.4 77.8 -2.37 134.8 44.0
Quinton Upshur Quinton Upshur G 30 17.8 5.2 2.5 0.9 1.5 0.2 0.9 1.6 7.8 13 20 0.7 1.5 30.6 33.3 78.3 0.6 131.9 38.8
D.J. Covington D.J. Covington F 24 15.1 5.0 2.7 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 1.8 6.5 -23 18 -1.3 -3.5 59.5 0 90.5 -3.88 118.1 59.5
Nick Gore Nick Gore F 31 14.4 4.5 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 1.0 1.3 6.0 -127 21 -6.0 -17.9 32.5 16.7 66.7 -6.97 144.0 37.5
Wayne Whiting Wayne Whiting C 17 7.1 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 2.4 -19 12 -1.6 -8.7 22.2 0 66.7 -1.83 116.0 22.2
Jarid Watson Jarid Watson C 26 8.9 1.5 2.1 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.5 3.7 -9 17 -0.5 -3.7 71.4 0 33.3 -1.89 114.2 71.4
Christian Burton Christian Burton G 6 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.2 0.8 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.47 300.0 0.0
Brian Brown Brian Brown G 19 6.4 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 -28 11 -2.5 -19.2 14.3 9.1 0 -4.64 64.3 17.9
Drew Absher Drew Absher G 7 3.3 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.09 50.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG