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2012-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames VMI Keydets Spread Result
Elo 22.2% 77.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.2% 74.8% - โœ“
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.1 โœ“ (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.2% 60.8% - โœ“

Actual: VMI Keydets +14 (71-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jesse Sanders * 34 1-7 0-1 1-2 6 3 0 0 1 3 4 -
Tavares Speaks * 34 4-12 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 8 1 -
David Minaya * 29 3-9 0-1 2-2 4 2 4 0 2 8 7 -
Tomasz Gielo * 22 2-5 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
Antwan Burrus * 21 5-10 0-0 0-0 9 4 0 0 1 10 12 -
Jesse Sanders 20 3-7 1-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 9 2 -
Joel Vander Pol 14 3-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
Chene Phillips 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Ethan Layer 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Andrew Smith 7 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
K. Assinesi 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Walt Aikens 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Stephen Baird 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

VMI Keydets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keith Gabriel * 32 4-11 1-6 0-1 4 0 4 0 0 9 6 -
Ron Burks * 27 3-5 3-4 1-2 1 3 0 0 2 10 7 -
Rodney Glasgow * 25 2-7 1-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 -
D.J. Covington * 22 1-3 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 4 7 -
Nick Gore * 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -
Stan Okoye 26 8-15 0-1 2-2 6 2 0 0 0 18 11 -
Jordan Weethee 19 5-7 1-2 1-2 5 3 1 0 1 12 13 -
Michael Sparks 18 4-9 3-8 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 11 5 -
Jarid Watson 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Brian Brown 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Quinton Upshur 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
Wayne Whiting 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Christian Burton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Drew Absher 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter