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VMI Keydets

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: VMI Keydets
Program History
Coach: Andrew Wilson

2012 Team Stats (3 games)

77.7
PPG
104.7
Opp
-27.0
Margin
40.3%
FG%
29.7%
3P%
69.8%
FT%
29.7
RPG
13.0
APG
11.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.7
Adj PPG
80.6
Adj Opp PPG
#275
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 959 (#186) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 937 (#213) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1030 (#126) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -7.4 (#278) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -3.8 (#229) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.366 (#235) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.3 More → 0.256 (#258) AdjNet -9.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.3 More → 0.254 (#258) AdjNet -9.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 80.6 More → 0.348 (#275) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 80.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 73.1 More → 0.463 (#208) AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 73.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.398 (#223) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.421 (#213) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 27 More → 961 (#195) RD 149 | GP 27

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 103 - 100
2011-11-12 @ Air Force Falcons L 65 - 75
2011-11-15 vs Alice Lloyd Eagles W 101 - 74
2011-11-19 vs UMBC Retrievers W 84 - 79
2011-11-23 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 74 - 107
2011-12-01 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 78 - 87
2011-12-03 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 81 - 114
2011-12-06 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 70 - 97
2011-12-08 vs Central Pennsylvania College Knights W 109 - 86
2011-12-10 vs Milligan Buffaloes W 122 - 73
2011-12-12 @ Longwood Lancers L 89 - 110
2011-12-22 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 73 - 81
2011-12-31 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 78 - 70
2012-01-02 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 76 - 72
2012-01-05 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 85 - 94
2012-01-07 @ Winthrop Eagles L 84 - 91
2012-01-10 vs Liberty Flames W 71 - 57
2012-01-14 vs Radford Highlanders W 80 - 76
2012-01-19 vs High Point Panthers W 88 - 77
2012-01-26 @ Radford Highlanders W 65 - 60
2012-02-04 vs Winthrop Eagles W 86 - 79
2012-02-09 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 74 - 94
2012-02-14 @ Liberty Flames L 69 - 78
2012-02-18 vs William & Mary Tribe W 73 - 65
2012-02-23 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 90 - 81
2012-02-25 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 64 - 81
2012-02-27 vs Radford Highlanders W 55 - 53
2012-02-29 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 85 - 68
2012-03-01 @ Winthrop Eagles W 75 - 55
2012-03-03 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 64 - 80

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Keith Gabriel Keith Gabriel G 30 28.3 17.2 3.3 1.8 1.9 1.3 2.0 5.4 18.0 3 22 0.1 0.2 37.7 29.4 76.5 2.18 139.6 45.4
Stan Okoye Stan Okoye F 30 28.9 17.1 6.9 2.0 1.5 0.7 2.7 4.2 21.4 90 22 4.1 6.0 52.8 18.8 74.5 5.37 172.0 53.9
Ron Burks Ron Burks F 30 30.8 9.6 3.6 3.3 1.1 0.2 2.5 2.9 12.5 -67 22 -3.0 -4.0 37.9 32.6 77.3 -3.46 135.9 46.0
Michael Sparks Michael Sparks G 30 20.8 8.0 2.5 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.7 2.5 8.2 -13 22 -0.6 -1.2 47.4 39.3 72.0 -1.35 138.5 61.8
Jordan Weethee Jordan Weethee F 30 14.8 7.1 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.8 1.9 7.9 -3 22 -0.1 -0.4 46.4 33.3 75.0 -1.23 184.4 58.0
Rodney Glasgow Rodney Glasgow G 26 22.0 6.2 1.8 2.8 0.9 0.0 1.3 2.1 8.3 -20 19 -1.1 -2.3 34.5 30.3 85.7 -2.37 139.5 43.6
D.J. Covington D.J. Covington F 23 14.7 5.3 2.7 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.7 6.6 -23 18 -1.3 -3.5 60.5 0 90.5 -3.88 128.1 60.5
Quinton Upshur Quinton Upshur G 28 17.9 5.0 2.5 0.8 1.4 0.2 0.9 1.0 8.1 13 20 0.7 1.5 25.0 30.8 66.7 0.6 220.6 32.1
Nick Gore Nick Gore F 29 14.0 4.3 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.2 1.0 0.7 6.6 -127 21 -6.0 -17.9 23.8 0.0 58.3 -6.97 235.9 23.8
Wayne Whiting Wayne Whiting C 16 7.2 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 2.6 -19 12 -1.6 -8.7 22.2 0 66.7 -1.83 116.0 22.2
Jarid Watson Jarid Watson C 24 9.4 1.6 2.2 0.2 0.1 0.8 0.3 0.4 4.2 -9 17 -0.5 -3.7 80.0 0 33.3 -1.89 150.3 80.0
Brian Brown Brian Brown G 18 6.8 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 -28 11 -2.5 -19.2 18.2 12.5 0 -4.64 81.8 22.7
Christian Burton Christian Burton G 6 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.2 0.8 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.47 300.0 0.0
Drew Absher Drew Absher G 7 3.3 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.09 50.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG