VCU
2013 Team Stats (13 games)
78.5
PPG
70.2
Opp
+8.3
Margin
46.6%
FG%
37.1%
3P%
70.8%
FT%
33.2
RPG
13.7
APG
10.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.0
Adj PPG
60.3
Adj Opp PPG
#13
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1389 (#16) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1275 (#23) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1127 (#27) | HCA +102 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +16.4 (#13) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +15.5 (#17) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.883 (#11) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.940 (#17) | AdjNet +23.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.942 (#17) | AdjNet +24.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.805 (#13) | AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 60.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.738 (#13) | AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 62.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.855 (#15) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.846 (#15) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1290 (#19) | RD 104 | GP 36 |
2013 Schedule & Results
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Treveon Graham
|
G | 36 | 27.6 | 15.1 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 16.4 | 319 | 33 | 9.7 | 15.5 | 45.7 | 43.1 | 70.8 | 6.59 | 117.9 | 52.8 |
Juvonte Reddic
|
F | 36 | 27.9 | 14.6 | 8.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 19.3 | 228 | 33 | 6.9 | 11.1 | 59.2 | 0.0 | 65.8 | -0.53 | 130.2 | 59.2 |
Troy Daniels
|
G | 36 | 26.3 | 12.2 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.4 | 11.7 | 319 | 33 | 9.7 | 16.1 | 39.5 | 37.1 | 75.0 | 4.96 | 133.0 | 55.1 |
Rob Brandenberg
|
G | 35 | 24.1 | 10.4 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 10.4 | 217 | 32 | 6.8 | 12.6 | 41.4 | 37.9 | 70.6 | 1.42 | 104.6 | 49.7 |
Melvin Johnson
|
G | 35 | 17.3 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 6.0 | 46 | 32 | 1.4 | 3.7 | 41.2 | 33.3 | 92.9 | -1.81 | 100.7 | 46.5 |
Darius Theus
|
G | 35 | 26.4 | 6.8 | 1.6 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 11.5 | 244 | 32 | 7.6 | 12.6 | 53.8 | 30.0 | 63.6 | 0.8 | 113.2 | 57.1 |
Briante Weber
|
G | 36 | 20.9 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 10.8 | 151 | 33 | 4.6 | 9.7 | 45.2 | 29.4 | 78.8 | -0.12 | 110.8 | 48.6 |
Jarred Guest
|
F | 35 | 10.5 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 32 | 32 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 51.9 | 0.0 | 40.0 | -1.04 | 128.4 | 51.9 |
D.J. Haley
|
C | 29 | 8.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3.7 | 96 | 26 | 3.7 | 19.1 | 75.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 2.43 | 202.7 | 75.0 |
Teddy Okereafor
|
G | 31 | 8.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 50 | 29 | 1.7 | 9.4 | 40.0 | 28.6 | 66.7 | -0.93 | 110.8 | 46.7 |
Justin Tuoyo
|
F | 25 | 7.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 54 | 23 | 2.3 | 13.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 1.9 | 128.1 | 60.0 |
David Hinton
|
F | 25 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.6 | -11 | 22 | -0.5 | -4.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.24 | 106.6 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG