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VCU

Also known as: VCU Rams, VCU
Program History

2013 Team Stats (13 games)

78.5
PPG
70.2
Opp
+8.3
Margin
46.6%
FG%
37.1%
3P%
70.8%
FT%
33.2
RPG
13.7
APG
10.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.0
Adj PPG
60.3
Adj Opp PPG
#13
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1389 (#16) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1275 (#23) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1127 (#27) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +16.4 (#13) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +15.5 (#17) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.883 (#11) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.8 More โ†’ 0.940 (#17) AdjNet +23.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.0 More โ†’ 0.942 (#17) AdjNet +24.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 60.3 More โ†’ 0.805 (#13) AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 60.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 62.7 More โ†’ 0.738 (#13) AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 62.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.855 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.846 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 36 More โ†’ 1290 (#19) RD 104 | GP 36

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 80 - 57
2012-11-13 vs Wichita State Shockers L 51 - 53
2012-11-17 @ Winthrop Eagles W 90 - 54
2012-11-22 @ Memphis Tigers W 78 - 65
2012-11-23 vs Duke Blue Devils L 58 - 67
2012-11-24 @ Missouri Tigers L 65 - 68
2012-11-28 vs Stetson Hatters W 92 - 56
2012-12-01 vs Belmont Bruins W 75 - 65
2012-12-07 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 83 - 70
2012-12-15 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 73 - 54
2012-12-18 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 76 - 44
2012-12-21 vs Longwood Lancers W 93 - 56
2012-12-29 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 96 - 67
2013-01-02 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 109 - 58
2013-01-05 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 59 - 55
2013-01-09 vs Dayton Flyers W 74 - 62
2013-01-12 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 72 - 65
2013-01-17 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 92 - 86
2013-01-19 @ Duquesne Dukes W 90 - 63
2013-01-24 @ Richmond Spiders L 74 - 86
2013-01-26 vs La Salle Explorers L 61 - 69
2013-01-30 @ Rhode Island Rams W 70 - 64
2013-02-02 vs Fordham Rams W 81 - 65
2013-02-09 @ Charlotte 49ers W 68 - 61
2013-02-14 vs UMass Minutemen W 86 - 68
2013-02-16 vs George Washington Colonials W 84 - 57
2013-02-19 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 62 - 76
2013-02-23 @ Xavier Musketeers W 75 - 71
2013-03-02 vs Butler Bulldogs W 84 - 52
2013-03-06 vs Richmond Spiders W 93 - 82
2013-03-10 @ Temple Owls L 76 - 84
2013-03-15 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 82 - 79
2013-03-16 vs UMass Minutemen W 71 - 62
2013-03-17 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 56 - 62
2013-03-21 vs Akron Zips W 88 - 42
2013-03-23 @ Michigan Wolverines L 53 - 78

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Treveon Graham Treveon Graham G 36 27.6 15.1 5.8 1.6 0.9 0.1 1.6 5.5 16.4 319 33 9.7 15.5 45.7 43.1 70.8 6.59 117.9 52.8
Juvonte Reddic Juvonte Reddic F 36 27.9 14.6 8.1 0.6 1.4 0.9 1.6 4.7 19.3 228 33 6.9 11.1 59.2 0.0 65.8 -0.53 130.2 59.2
Troy Daniels Troy Daniels G 36 26.3 12.2 3.1 0.6 0.9 0.1 0.9 4.4 11.7 319 33 9.7 16.1 39.5 37.1 75.0 4.96 133.0 55.1
Rob Brandenberg Rob Brandenberg G 35 24.1 10.4 2.7 1.4 1.3 0.2 1.3 4.3 10.4 217 32 6.8 12.6 41.4 37.9 70.6 1.42 104.6 49.7
Melvin Johnson Melvin Johnson G 35 17.3 6.9 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.0 1.0 3.3 6.0 46 32 1.4 3.7 41.2 33.3 92.9 -1.81 100.7 46.5
Darius Theus Darius Theus G 35 26.4 6.8 1.6 4.8 2.4 0.3 1.9 2.6 11.5 244 32 7.6 12.6 53.8 30.0 63.6 0.8 113.2 57.1
Briante Weber Briante Weber G 36 20.9 5.4 2.8 2.7 2.7 0.2 1.1 2.0 10.8 151 33 4.6 9.7 45.2 29.4 78.8 -0.12 110.8 48.6
Jarred Guest Jarred Guest F 35 10.5 2.1 2.5 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.8 4.2 32 32 1.0 4.3 51.9 0.0 40.0 -1.04 128.4 51.9
D.J. Haley D.J. Haley C 29 8.0 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.4 3.7 96 26 3.7 19.1 75.0 0 66.7 2.43 202.7 75.0
Teddy Okereafor Teddy Okereafor G 31 8.6 1.4 1.0 1.6 0.6 0.0 0.8 0.5 3.3 50 29 1.7 9.4 40.0 28.6 66.7 -0.93 110.8 46.7
Justin Tuoyo Justin Tuoyo F 25 7.5 1.2 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 2.8 54 23 2.3 13.7 50.0 50.0 66.7 1.9 128.1 60.0
David Hinton David Hinton F 25 5.0 0.7 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.6 -11 22 -0.5 -4.2 50.0 0 0.0 -2.24 106.6 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG